The New York Mets (50-58) and Baltimore Orioles (67-42) open a 3-game series in Charm City on Friday. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Orioles and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting since the Mets won 3 of 4 games in 2021
The Mets head to Baltimore to finish their 6-game road trip after being swept by the Royals in Kansas City from Tuesday-Thursday. New York is 11 games under .500 away from Citi Field which makes sense being that they allow nearly 5 runs per game on the road — the 6th-highest mark in MLB.
The Orioles won 3 of 4 games at the Toronto Blue Jays to start the week, including a 6-1 victory Thursday. Baltimore outscored the Blue Jays 24-10 over the series and now returns home where it is 32-21 on the season.
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Mets at Orioles projected starters
LHP David Peterson vs. RHP Dean Kremer
Peterson (3-7, 5.92 ERA) will make his 12th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.62 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 62 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 3-1 loss at the San Diego Padres on July 8
- 2023 away splits: 1-5, 8.41 ERA (35 1/3IP, 33 ER), .336 OBA in 7 starts and 2 relief appearances
- Has made 6 relief appearances since his last start, allowing 2 ER over 8 IP
Kremer (10-4, 4.66 ERA) will make his 23rd start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 119 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 9-3 home victory vs. New York Yankees Sunday
- Has never started against the Mets
- 2023 home splits: 5-2, 5.51 ERA (63 2/3 IP, 39 ER), .259 OBA in 12 starts
Mets at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Orioles -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-145) | Orioles -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Mets at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 7, Mets 3
Moneyline
AVOID.
I love the Orioles (-160) to win this game at Camden Yards on Friday night but I’m not going to pay all that juice to take them on the moneyline. Focus on the run line or the total in this one.
Run line/Against the spread
BET ORIOLES -1.5 (+120).
Baltimore will take care of business at home. Peterson hasn’t started a game in nearly a month and has been awful away from Citi Field. The Orioles are 11 games over .500 on the season in Charm City.
These are two teams going in different directions.
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Over/Under
LEAN OVER 9 (-120).
The Orioles are 24-12 against lefties with a .761 OPS on the season. Baltimore will get to Peterson early and often in this one. I mentioned earlier that the Mets allow 4.88 runs per game on the road.
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