New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Mets at Atlanta Braves odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (98-59) face the Atlanta Braves (98-59) in the 2nd game of their 3-game series Saturday night, with the winner taking sole possession of the NL East lead. First pitch is 7:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 9-8

The Mets lost the series opener Friday 5-2  to fall into a tie for the NL East lead with the Braves. They are 3-4 in their last 7 games, alternating losses and wins, but they are 9-4 in their last 13 games.

The Braves won for the 5th time in 6 games to tie the Mets for the division lead. Atlanta is riding high after cracking RHP Jacob deGrom‘s code for the 2nd straight time. They are 10-4 in their last 14 games.

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Mets vs. Braves projected starters

RHP Max Scherzer vs. RHP Kyle Wright

Scherzer (11-4, 2.13 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 through 139 2/3 IP.

  • Has a 1.13 ERA over his last 4 starts (24 IP)
  • Is 3-0 in 3 starts against the Braves in 2022 with a 2.21 ERA

Wright (20-5, 3.18 ERA) makes his 30th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 175 1/3 IP.

  • Is 0-2 with 6.23 ERA vs. Mets in 2 starts in 2022
  • Has won 7 straight decisions and Braves have won his last 8 starts

Mets at Braves odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Braves +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+145) | Braves +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +115 | U: -145)

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Mets at Braves picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 6, Braves 3

Money line

Both teams are finishing the season strong, and this is sure to be a top pitching matchup.

But Scherzer has had the Braves’ number this season, beating them in all 3 starts this season against them. He is pitching extremely well.

The Mets have lost 4 of the last 5 games against the Braves. They are due to pick one up, and I like them best in this game with Scherzer on the mound.

Take the METS (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

The Mets are 84-73 ATS on the season, while the Braves are 81-76 ATS overall.

Eight of the Mets’ 9 wins over the Braves this season have been by more than 1 run. Thirteen of their last 15 wins have been by 2 or more runs.

The Braves are 38-41 ATS at home.

Take the METS -1.5 (+145).

Over/Under

Scherzer has only allowed 3 runs in his last 24 innings and has dominated the Braves. But the Mets have scored 20 runs in his last 2 starts.

Six of the last 7 games for the Braves had 7 or more runs. Twelve of the 17 games between the 2 teams have had 7 or more runs. Nine of the Mets’ last 10 games have had 7 or more runs.

Take OVER 7.5 (+115).

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