[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
The New York Mets (69-64) and Arizona Diamondbacks (76-57) close out a 3-game series Thursday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 3:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 3-3
After winning the Tuesday opener 8-3, the Mets lost 8-5 Wednesday night. They are 8-6 in their last 14 games.
The Diamondbacks got a grand slam from OF Corbin Carroll Wednesday. They have won 7 of their last 8.
Mets at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP David Peterson vs. RHP Ryne Nelson
Peterson (8-1, 2.85 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 85 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 7-1 road win over San Diego Padres Saturday
- Is 3-0 with 1.14 ERA over last 4 starts
- Career vs. Arizona: 0-0, 6.75 ERA (12 IP, 9 ER), 1.75 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 4 starts
Nelson (9-6, 4.29 ERA) makes his 23rd start and 25th appearance. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 130 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 12-2 road win over Boston Red Sox Saturday
- Diamondbacks are 8-1 in his last 9 starts
- Career vs. Mets: 0-2, 15.95 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 13 ER), 16 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 2 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mets at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+150) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Mets at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 7, Mets 4
Moneyline
The DIAMONDBACKS (-115) haven’t lost a home series since losing 2 out of 3 to the Minnesota Twins June 25-27. They are 8-1 in Nelson’s last 9 starts. They have scored 7+ runs in 6 of their last 9 games.
The Mets are 12-3 in Peterson’s starts and have won his last 4 outings.
But the Diamondbacks are just too hot to bet against them in a series-clinching win.
BET DIAMONDBACKS (-115).
Run line/Against the spread
The Diamondbacks’ last 18 covers have been outright wins, so it is better to bet the moneyline over +1.5 (-185).
But since their last 8 wins have been by multiple wins, you might consider betting DIAMONDBACKS ALTERNATE SPREAD -1.5 (+175) for some bigger winnings.
Over/Under
Five of the 6 meetings between the teams have had at least 9 total runs.
Nine of the Diamondbacks’ last 12 games have had 9 or more total runs. They themselves have scored 7 or more in 6 of their last 9.
BET OVER 9 (+100).
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Jess Root on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
Fantasy baseball help from BaseballHQ.com:
Subscribe now to dominate the competition.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]