The New York Liberty (20-6) wrap up a 3-game road trip Friday against the Minnesota Lynx (13-14) at Target Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ION Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Liberty vs. Lynx odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
The Liberty swept a 2-game back-to-back against the Los Angeles Sparks to kick off the road trip, although they failed to cover in both outings. New York is just 2-9 ATS across its last 11 games overall. The Under cashed in both games in L.A.
The Lynx topped the Liberty 88-83 in Brooklyn last Friday as the Over (167) connected. Minnesota lost last time out in the 2nd end of a back-to-back on the road against the Connecticut Sun, but it has covered 4 straight, including 3 in a row as a double-digit underdog. The Over is 4-1 in the past 5 overall.
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Liberty at Lynx odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:57 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Liberty -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Lynx +375 (bet $100 to win $375)
- Against the spread: Liberty -10.5 (-115) | Lynx +10.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 167.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Liberty at Lynx picks and predictions
Prediction
Liberty 87, Lynx 83
Moneyline
The Liberty (-500) will cost you 5 times your potential return, and that’s quite a steep price tag considering the Lynx (+375) just beat them in Brooklyn 1 week ago. If anything, Minnesota would be worth a roll of the dice as a giant underdog at home.
AVOID.
Against the spread
The LYNX +10.5 (-105) have cashed in 4 straight games, including the past 3 as a double-digit underdog. On the flip side, the Liberty are 2-9 ATS across the past 11 games overall and 1-6 ATS in their past 7 instances when installed as double-digit favorites. New York has also failed to cover its last 4 games on the road.
Over/Under
OVER 167.5 (-115) is the lean, but ever so slightly.
New York is 2nd in the WNBA with 88.2 points per game (PPG), while also ranking 2nd in field-goal percentage (45.3%) and 3-point percentage (37.4%), according to covers.com. The Liberty is also the best free-throw shooting team in the league at 83.2%.
However, the Liberty are also very giving defensively, allowing 82.0 PPG, and they’re dead-last against the 3-pointer at 35.2%. That’s a recipe for plenty of Over results, and the Over is 6-3 in the past 9 overall for New York. That includes last Friday’s 5-point loss at home against Minnesota.
The Over is 9-2 in the past 11 meetings between these clubs and is 6-1 in the previous 7 battles in the Twin Cities.
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