The New York Knicks (11-12) visit the Indiana Pacers (10-16) Wednesday for a 7 p.m. ET game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Below, we look at the Knicks vs. Pacers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.
New York snapped its three-game losing skid Tuesday by handling the San Antonio Spurs 121-109 as a 1.5-point road favorite. Knicks wing RJ Barrett went off a team-high 32 points on 55.0% shooting (7-for-8 from 3-point land). The Knicks are 11-13 ATS and 11-13 O/U with the 20th-best net rating.
Indiana put an end to its four-game losing skid with a 116-110 victory over the Washington Wizards Monday. The Pacers are 12-13-1 ATS and 12-14 O/U with the 13th-best net rating.
This is the third match between these teams and the home side won and covered their first two meetings of the season with the Under cashing in each contest.
Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA December 8 breakdown
Knicks at Pacers odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:58 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Knicks +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Pacers -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Knicks +5.5 (-120) | Pacers -5.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 209.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Knicks at Pacers key injuries
Knicks
- Nothing affecting gambling odds.
Pacers
- PG T.J. McConnell (wrist) out
- SG Justin Holiday (health and safety protocols) out
Knicks at Pacers odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Knicks 107, Pacers 101
Money line
Slight “LEAN” to the KNICKS (+170) for a small wager — if at all — because the vibe is all wrong with the Pacers. Reports surfaced earlier this week that the Indiana front office is open to trading away several starters in an attempt to rebuild under first-year head coach Rick Carlisle.
The Pacers were in the inaugural playoff play-in tournament last season and in the postseason for five straight years prior. I don’t see them galvanizing and making a playoff push now that several of their starters are on the trading block.
This is a bad spot for the Pacers playing a Knicks team that’s desperate to prove last season wasn’t a fluke and that is a lot deeper than Indiana at the moment.
Against the spread
Definitely BET the KNICKS +5.5 (-120) heavier than, or instead of, New York’s money line. There’s some value in fading the public’s perception of this physical Knicks squad being fatigued in the second game of a back-to-back set.
New York is 11-6 ATS with a plus-9.2 spread differential when playing with no rest since the start of last season. Indiana is 6-11-2 ATS with a minus-3.4 spread differential when playing with a rest advantage across the same timeframe.
The Knicks have also played well on the road this season: New York is 7-4 overall with plus-5.2 points per 100 possessions (ranked fourth) and a plus-4.5 ATS margin (ranked fourth).
New York played well enough defensively to beat Indiana in both games earlier this season. However, a fluke 3-point shooting performance by Indiana big Myles Turner swung the tide of the first game in the Pacers’ favor.
Over/Under
PASS with a “lean” to the Under 209.5 (-110) because that’s how the presumed sharp side of the market is betting this contest.
More than 60% of the cash is on the Under while nearly two-thirds of the bets are on the Over according to pregame.com Typically, in sports betting, it’s wise to follow the money especially when it’s counter to the public.
That said, we’d be getting to the party way late on the Under since this total has been steamed down from the 213-point lookahead line.
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