New Orleans Saints playoff odds and predicted total wins: NFL futures picks and best bets

Assessing the betting odds of the New Orleans Saints making the 2020 NFL playoffs and predicting their exact win total.

Will the New Orleans Saints make the 2020 NFL playoffs? Below, we look at the BetMGM betting odds and make our pick. We also predict their exact win total for the upcoming season.

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Odds last updated Thursday, May 28 at 2:15 p.m. ET.

Will the New Orleans Saints make the 2020 NFL playoffs?

Yes: -400 | No: +310

Many respected minds of the NFL community rank the Saints at the top of the NFC heading into the season, but there is a world where the  Saints do NOT make the postseason in 2020. You know what they say about Father Time and he’s coming for 41-year-old QB Drew Brees. On the other hand, it’s not something I feel great banking on because aside from missing five games last year, Brees looked like his future-Hall of Fame self.

Another thing to factor in is the NFC South will be a tougher division. QB Tom Brady joining the talented Tampa Bay Buccaneers could instantly make them a contender (pending his own bout with Father Time). The Atlanta Falcons still have the nucleus that made it to Super Bowl LI including MVP QB Matt Ryan and future-Hall of Fame WR Julio Jones. Sure the Carolina Panthers will probably be bad but the Saints know full well that the Panthers’ new QB Teddy Bridgewater is no chump.

Other things to consider are natural regression on a 2019 record of 8-1 in one-score games and a difficult schedule, which ranks as the 23rd easiest (according to SharpFootballAnalysis.com).

At the end of the day, I’d bet New Orleans to make the playoffs on a straight-up yes or no question. Unfortunately, BetMGM isn’t giving us those odds so I recommend PASSING on a bet for the Saints to make the playoffs.


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How many games will the New Orleans Saints win in 2020? Bands

BAND ODDS
0-4 Wins +20000
5-8 Wins +475
9-12 Wins -358
13-16 Wins +550

This won’t jive with what I wrote above but let me try to make a case for the Saints racking up 13 or more wins. First, there was very little roster turnover on a team that won 13 games in both 2019 and 2018. The Saints had the fourth-best offensive DVOA and 11th-best defensive DVOA in 2019, according to Football Outsiders. Second, the Saints host their toughest opponents such as the Green Bay Packers in Week 3, San Francisco 49ers in Week 10, Kansas City Chiefs in Week 15 and the Minnesota Vikings in Week 16.

I’m not going to go crazy but I’ll TAKE the Saints to get 13-16 wins (+550). A $20 bet will return a profit of $110.

How many games will the New Orleans Saints win in 2020? Exact number

The only angle I’d take at betting this would be grabbing exactly six wins (+4000), exactly seven wins (+1500), exactly 13 wins (+725), and exactly 14 wins (+1800) and hoping one of those cashed. My official stance is to PASS on this one because there is little value in the exact win prices and too ambitious edges of the Saints’ win range.

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