New Orleans Pelicans at Minnesota Timberwolves odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Minnesota Timberwolves odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Orleans Pelicans (42-39) and Minnesota Timberwolves (41-40) meet Sunday at Target Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pelicans vs. Timberwolves odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Pelicans pushed as 8-point home favorites Friday with a 113-105 win vs. the New York Knicks. G Trey Murphy III had 31 points for the 8th-place Pelicans, who will need to beat Minnesota Sunday to have any chance at avoiding the Play-In Tournament.

The Timberwolves covered the spread as 15.5-point favorites Saturday with a 151-131 win vs. the San Antonio Spurs at Moody Center in Austin, Texas. G Anthony Edwards scored 33 points for the 9th-place Timberwolves, who have a chance at finishing 8th in the Western Conference with a win Sunday.

The season series is tied 1-1 with the Timberwolves covering in both meetings and the Over hitting once. Minnesota covered as a 2-point road underdog in a 111-102 win as the Under (228) cashed in the most recent meeting Jan. 25.

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Pelicans at Timberwolves odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pelicans +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Timberwolves -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Pelicans +2.5 (-105) | Timberwolves -2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pelicans at Timberwolves key injuries

Pelicans

  • Jose Alvarado (shin) out
  • Zion Williamson (hamstring) out

Timberwolves

  • Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pelicans at Timberwolves picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 111, Pelicans 110

Moneyline

PASS.

The Timberwolves (-155) should be able to edge New Orleans at home, but they’re being slightly overvalued on the moneyline. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

BET PELICANS +2.5 (-105).

New Orleans has more motivation to win this game since it has the possibility of avoiding the play-in round altogether. The Pelicans are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 on the road.

The Timberwolves are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games and may struggle to match the intensity of the Pelicans, who will also have a rest advantage.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 226.5 (-105).

The Under is 5-2 in Minnesota’s last 7 games and 12-2 in New Orleans’ last 14 on the road.

The Under has hit in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these teams in Minnesota and should cash again Sunday in a low-scoring, playoff-like matchup.

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