The New Orleans Pelicans (8-12) stop by the Bankers Life Fieldhouse Friday to play the Indiana Pacers (12-10) at 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Pelicans-Pacers NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
New Orleans just finished a five-game homestand with a 3-2 record (3-2 against the spread) after beating the Phoenix Suns 123-101 Wednesday. The Pelicans had the fifth-highest offensive rating and the highest assist to turnover ratio in the Association during their homestand.
The Pacers were steamrolled their last time out by the Milwaukee Bucks, 130-110, as 9-point road underdogs. Indiana is 2-3 overall and ATS in its last five games partially due to the Pacers’ opponents being top-10 in “miscellaneous” metrics such as points off of turnovers, in transition, in the paint and second-chance points in those games.
Indiana stole one from New Orleans in the first meeting of the season with a 118-116 overtime road win. Former Pacers SG Victor Oladipo was Indiana’s leading scorer in that game but has since been traded to the Houston Rockets.
Pelicans at Pacers: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Pelicans +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Pacers -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Pelicans +1.5 (-110) | Pacers -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Pelicans at Pacers: Key injuries
Pelicans
- None affecting the betting odds.
Pacers
- SG Caris LeVert (medical condition) out
- SF T.J. Warren (foot) out
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Pelicans at Pacers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Pelicans 118, Pacers 112
Money line (ML)
Indiana got a fluky win against New Orleans in their first meeting, and if the second game goes anything like the first, the Pelicans should win handily.
The Pacers scored six points in the final 20.5 seconds of the fourth quarter thanks to an Oladipo three, steal in the backcourt followed by a C Myles Turner 27-foot three to send the game into overtime. Also, if Pelicans All-Star SF Brandon Ingram doesn’t shoot 12-for-31 from the field in the first game, New Orleans wins.
In the last three Pelicans-Pacers games, New Orleans has out-rebounded Indiana in each, and in the last two games, the Pelicans have held a 16- and 15-rebound edge.
Judging by the market action, sharp money believes this was a fluky win as more money is on the Pelicans while more actual bets placed are with the Pacers, according to Pregame.com. And generally the money column in the sharp side of the market.
Let’s follow the money and TAKE PELICANS (+105) for 1 unit.
Against the spread (ATS)
PASS the spread unless this somehow gets up to Pelicans +2.5.
Over/Under (O/U)
I lean OVER 227.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit since there are so many Over-friendly trends such as New Orleans having an 8-1 O/U record in its last nine, Indiana going Over in three straight and the last four Pelicans-Pacers games going Over the total.
However, I’d only place a small wager on it since the Pacers have been inconsistent on offense recently but defend midrange shots well, which is something New Orleans does a lot of.
Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Also see:
- Lonzo Ball’s defense sets tone for Pelicans in blowout win over Suns (Lonzo Wire)
- Hoops Hype rumors: Pelicans | Pacers
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