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The Golden State Warriors (3-1) welcome the New Orleans Pelicans (2-2) to Chase Center Wednesday. Tip is set for 10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Pelicans vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Warriors lead 1-0
The Pelicans kicked off their season hot, beating the Chicago Bulls and Portland Trail Blazers in back-to-back games; however, they started to stumble after that, losing to Portland and then Golden State. New Orleans is coming off a 124-106 road loss to the Warriors Tuesday, closing as a 1.5-point underdog. It is 1-3 against the spread (ATS) and 3-1 O/U. The Pelicans are led by F Brandon Ingram‘s 24.5 points per game (PPG).
The Warriors had a similar start to their season, throttling the Trail Blazers by 36 and then beating the Utah Jazz by 41. They lost 112-104 at home to the LA Clippers Sunday, closing as a 9-point underdog. Golden State is 3-1 ATS and is 1-1 ATS at home. It is 2-1 ATS as a favorite as well. The Warriors are led by in scoring by G Buddy Hield (21.3 PPG).
Pelicans at Warriors odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 11:36 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pelicans +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Warriors -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Pelicans +2.5 (-110) | Warriors -2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Pelicans at Warriors key injuries
Pelicans
- Not yet submitted
Warriors
- Not yet submitted
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Pelicans at Warriors picks and predictions
Prediction
Pelicans 114, Warriors 112
Moneyline
PASS.
The Pelicans are the preferred play here, but for this value and given that 1 of their 4 games this season has ended within 3 points, look toward the spread for value here.
Against the spread
BET PELICANS +2.5 (-110).
Given most of the focal pieces for both teams are back from last season, there are a few trends to note. New Orleans was 21-15-1 ATS after a loss, the eighth-best covering rate in the league, and the Warriors sat in the bottom third of the league in home covering rate, both situations relevant here.
Golden State shot an unsustainable 46% from deep against the Pelicans Tuesday and likely won’t be able to replicate that. It has a significant size disadvantage which may become a factor as well. Expect the Warriors to disappoint on the second night of a back-to-back with older stars.
Back PELICANS +2.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET OVER 219.5 (-110).
The Pelicans have yet to figure it out defensively, allowing 124.5 PPG over their last 2 games. They have allowed at least 111 points in 3 of 4 games and are 3-1 O/U.
The Warriors have scored at least 124 points 3 times and have the firepower to keep scoring at a high level, even if they don’t shoot 46% from deep again. They are 2-2 O/U on the season.
Given the way both teams have trended, take OVER 219.5 (-110).
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