The New Orleans Breakers (4-1) face the Philadelphia Stars (2-3) Sunday for a Week 6 USFL game at Ford Field in Detroit. Kickoff is set for noon ET (FS1). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Breakers vs. Stars odds, and make our expert USFL picks, predictions and bets.
The Breakers suffered their first setback of the season last week on a neutral field in Birmingham, losing to 17-10 as a 7-point favorite against the Memphis Showboats. The 10 points was easily the lowest of the season.
New Orleans has had a bit of a power outage on offense lately, posting just 30 total points in the last 2 games after averaging 35.0 PPG in the first 3 contests. The defense has actually been strong, yielding just 17.0 PPG in the 2 losses, after allowing 25.7 PPG in the 1st 3 outings.
The Stars stunned the New Jersey Generals by a 24-21 count last weekend, winning outright as a 6.5-point underdog as the Over (43.5) cashed. It was Philly’s 1st cover since Week 1. The Over is 3-2 overall, including each of the last 2 weekends.
The 24 points produced by the Stars was also the most since Week 1, when Philadelphia produced 27 points in Memphis. The defense has yielded 21 or more points in all 5 games this season.
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Breakers vs. Stars odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Breakers -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Stars +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
- Against the spread (ATS): Breakers -7.5 (-115) | Stars +7.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 47.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Breakers vs. Stars key injuries
(From official team Twitter pages)
Breakers
- LB Jordan Brailford (back) out
- S Greg Eisworth II (head) out
- S Jamar Johnson (hamstring) out
Stars
- OL Blake Camper (quadriceps) out
- DE Ali Fayad (knee) out
- OL Tristen Taylor (knee) out
- DB Mazzi Wilkins (ankle, wrist) out
- DB Denzel Williams (shoulder) out
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Breakers vs. Stars picks and predictions
Prediction
Breakers 25, Stars 16
Moneyline
New Orleans (-300) cannot be trusted after losing outright last week as a 7-point favorite. Plus, risking 3 times your potential return is just a foolish standalone wager, and it isn’t a good long-term betting strategy playing such heavy favorites. In fact, even as part of a multi-team parlay, including New Orleans isn’t a good idea.
PASS.
Against the spread
NEW ORLEANS -7.5 (-115) has been leaking oil lately on offense, managing just 30 total points in the last 2 weekends. However, facing a Philadelphia +7.5 (-105) defense, which has yielded at least 21 points in all 5 games should be the elixir to cure its ills.
While the Breakers failed to cover last week, they’re still 4-1 ATS overall, while the Stars are just 1-3 ATS in the last 4 outings. Back NOLA, but do so lightly.
Over/Under
UNDER 47.5 (-105) is a solid play in this neutral-site affair.
The Under has cashed in each of the last 2 outings for New Orleans. While I expect the offense to be better for the Breakers, as the Stars just cannot stop anybody, I am still very impressed by the New Orleans defense. It has been consistent, and I see Philadelphia struggling to put up points.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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