The New England Patriots (6-6) visit the Los Angeles Rams (8-4) Thursday night for an 8:20 p.m. ET kickoff at SoFi Stadium. Below, we preview the Patriots-Rams betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.
Patriots at Rams: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated 6:30 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Patriots +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Rams -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Patriots +5.5 (-110) | Rams -5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Patriots at Rams: Game notes
- The Patriots blasted the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 13 on this very same field, winning 45-0 in their first visit to SoFi Stadium. They stayed in Southern California during the short week for this second L.A. battle.
- New England started out 2-5, but has gone 4-1 across its past five outings, and cannot be eliminated from the AFC playoff picture just yet. The 45 points last week easily marked a season-high, as the Pats won outright as short dogs for the second straight week. They’re 3-0 straight up in their past three games as underdogs, and 4-0 ATS in their past four as dogs.
- Last week’s shutout helped the Patriots to their fourth consecutive Under result despite scoring 45 points. They have allowed just 15.3 points per game during the four-game span.
- The first-place Rams bounced back with a 38-28 road win against the Arizona Cardinals last week. L.A. has posted a 3-1 ATS mark across its past four games.
- The Under has connected in seven of the past nine games for the Rams. The Under has cashed in five straight for the Rams as home favorites, and seven of their past nine overall. The Under is also 20-8 in their previous 28 games as favorites.
Patriots at Rams: Key injuries
Patriots
- DL Adam Butler (shoulder) questionable
- PK Nick Folk (back) questionable
- QB Cam Newton (abdomen) questionable
- OL Shaq Mason (calf) questionable
- DB J.C. Jackson (hip, knee) questionable
Rams
- PK Matt Gay (shoulder) questionable
Patriots at Rams: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Rams 24, Patriots 20
Money line (?)
The Rams (-250) are too risky of a play at two and a half times your potential return, especially since they’ve been a little inconsistent with two losses in their past five outings, and three losses in their past seven.
The Patriots (+200) have the quick turnaround after their impressive win, and it’s unlikely they’ll have a similar result against the better L.A. team. AVOID.
Against the spread (?)
The PATRIOTS +5.5 (-110) are worth a small-unit play, as they come in playing their best football of the season. They’re 5-2 ATS in their past seven as road underdogs, and 5-1 ATS in their past six Thursday appearances, too.
On the flip side, the Rams -5.5 (-110) are just 2-5 ATS in their past seven appearances on a Thursday, and 1-4 ATS in their past five following a cover.
Over/Under (?)
UNDER 44.5 (-110) is the very, very slight lean. The Patriots have a laundry list of players on their injury report, although not many notable skill position players which is good news.
Still, the Under has hit in each of the past four for New England, the Under is 4-0 in its past four after a straight up win and also 4-1 in its past five as an underdog. The Under is also 5-0 in the past five as a home favorite for the Rams, while cashing in seven of their past nine overall.
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Also see:
- Why Newton makes blocking fun for linemen (Patriots Wire)
- Patriots’ lack of a No. 1 WR should have Ramsey back ‘star’ role (Rams Wire)
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