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The New England Patriots (1-4) will face the Las Vegas Raiders (2-3) in Week 6 Sunday at Allegiant Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Patriots vs. Raiders odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Patriots were defeated 34-0 by the New Orleans Saints as 1.5-point home favorites in Week 5, and the Under of 39 hit. New England has been outscored 72-3 in its last 2 games.
The Raiders covered as 2-point home favorites in their 17-13 victory over the Green Bay Packers in Week 5 where the Under of 44.5 connected. Las Vegas snapped a 3-game losing streak with its win over Green Bay.
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Patriots at Raiders odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sautrday at 1:30 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Patriots +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Raiders -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +3 (-115) | Raiders -3 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Patriots at Raiders key injuries
Patriots
- DT Christian Barmore (knee) questionable
- OT Trent Brown (chest) questionable
- S Kyle Dugger (foot) questionable
- DT Gavon Godchaux (ankle) questionable
- CB Jonathan Jones (ankle) questionable
- LB Matt Judon (elbow) out
- G Mike Onwenu (ankle) questionable
- OT Riley Reiff (knee) out
- WR JuJu Smith-Schuster (concussion) out
- G Cole Strange (knee) out
Raiders
- CB Jakorian Bennett (shoulder) questionable
- OT Justin Herron (concussion) out
- CB Nate Hobbs (ankle) out
Patriots at Raiders picks and predictions
Prediction
Patriots 20, Raiders 17
Moneyline
It has been a complete mess for New England in recent weeks, but I’ll back the PATRIOTS (+125) on the road against the Raiders. Coach Bill Belichick is going up against one of his former assistants in coach Josh McDaniels, and he’ll want to quiet the noise with everyone criticizing him amid recent blowout defeats.
The Patriots have been better on the road this season, producing a 1-1 record as the visitors compared to a 0-3 record at home.
Against the spread
Considering that I have New England winning outright, PATRIOTS +3 (-115) is the ideal bet on the spread in this matchup. The Patriots have been ravaged by injuries on defense, but Belichick can still scheme up a defense that can force QB Jimmy Garoppolo into making mistakes.
The Raiders are allowing an EPA per play of 0.058 (27th in the NFL) on the defensive side of the ball, so QB Mac Jones and the Patriots could see better results on offense this week. Garoppolo also leads the NFL with 7 interceptions thrown.
Over/Under
UNDER 41.5 (-110) is how I’d wager on the total with both offenses in this game being inconsistent units. The Patriots are averaging a league-worst 11 points per game, while the Raiders are logging only 15.8 points per game (29th in the NFL).
Both of these teams are also 1-4 to the Over in the first 5 weeks of the season.
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