New England Patriots at Las Vegas Raiders odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New England Patriots at Las Vegas Raiders odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The New England Patriots (7-6) battle the Las Vegas Raiders (5-8) at Allegiant Stadium Sunday. Kickoff from Las Vegas is set for 4:05 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Patriots vs. Raiders odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Patriots defeated the Arizona Cardinals 27-13 last week covering as 2-point road favorites. New England pushed its against-the-spread (ATS) record to 7-5-1 and has now covered 4 of its last 6 games. The Patriots’  defense ranks top 10 in total yards (312.6) and points allowed (18.4) per game.

The Raiders lost to the Baker Mayfield-led Los Angeles Rams last week, failing to cover as 6-point road favorites. That pushed their ATS record to just 6-7 — just 2-6 on the road and 3-2 at home. However, the Raiders have covered 3 of their last 4. Their offense ranks 9th in yards per game (361.9).

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Patriots at Raiders odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Patriots +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Raiders -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +2 (-110) | Raiders -2 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 45 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Patriots at Raiders key injuries

Patriots

  • WR DeVante Parker (concussion) out
  • RB Rhamondre Stevenson (ankle) questionable
  • CB Jalen Mills (groin) out
  • RB Damien Harris (thigh) out

Raiders

  • G Alex Bars (knee) out
  • DT Andrew Billings (fibula) questionable
  • RB Josh Jacobs (hand/quad) questionable

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Patriots at Raiders picks and predictions

Prediction

Raiders 24, Patriots 17

Moneyline

PASS.

I like the Raiders here, and I would rather play the spread than the moneyline odds.

Against the spread

LEAN RAIDERS -2 (-110).

I would wait to see if Jacobs is active given how good he has been, but the Raiders have simply been far better at home than on the road. Also, until last week, the Raiders were rolling, taking down the Los Angeles Chargers and Seattle Seahawks in back-to-back weeks and covering both games. They also have a more dynamic offense with WR Davante Adams being a focal point of the Las Vegas attack.

With Stevenson questionable, the Patriots offense could struggle if he’s not 100%. They have scored just 73 points in their last 4 games and are just 1-2 ATS in their last 3.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 45 (-110).

The Raiders are 6-7 O/U while the Patriots are 5-8 O/U this season, but just 1-5 O/U in their last 6 games.

The Raiders have gone Under in their last 2 games, 3 of their last 4 and in 5 of their last 7. With Adams and Jacobs questionable, the teams’ offenses may not be at 100% either.

With the Patriots having a top-tier defense and the Raiders ranking 10th in opponents rushing yards per game (110.5), both teams should be able to limit what their opponent does best.

With that in mind, back the UNDER 45 (-110).

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