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The New England Patriots (2-7) travel to the Windy City in Week 10 to face the Chicago Bears (4-4). Kickoff Sunday at Soldier Field is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Patriots vs. Bears odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
Fans will be treated to a clash of rookie QBs who’ve shown mixed results in their first regulation action, despite being dual-threat offensive talents. The host signal-caller, Caleb Williams, is looking to stop Chicago’s 2-game slide since a Week 7 bye; one of those losses being the embarrassing loss via Hail Mary to the Washington Commanders and fellow first-year slinger Jayden Daniels.
Meanwhile, Drake Maye-led New England lost 20-17 to the Tennessee Titans in Week 9, and the rookie threw 2 INTs, his first since Week 7. Even with his flaws, the Patriots enjoy more offensive upside with him under center.
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Patriots at Bears odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:52 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Patriots +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Bears -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +6 (-110) | Bears -6 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 38.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Patriots at Bears key injuries
Patriots
- S Kyle Dugger (ankle) out
Bears
- LT Kiran Amegadjie (calf) out
- LT Braxton Jones (knee) out
- RT Darnell Wright (knee) out
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Patriots at Bears picks and predictions
Prediction
Patriots 21, Bears 17
Moneyline
Taking the value in New England in an otherwise evenly matched game has a basis behind it, but I was hoping for (+300) vig for the visitors. It’s a decent wager, but not enough for me to strongly recommend it.
PASS.
Against the spread
The Bears rank above .500 against the spread at 4-3-1, while the Patriots sit at a below-average 3-5-1.
Trends aside, the Bears -6 spread without the hook offers a ripe opportunity to fade the home squad.
Even if Chicago were to win by a TD in overtime, betting the Patriots ATS would at least nab players a push. Though the Bears defense ranks among the top options in the league, Maye should do enough to keep pace with fellow error-prone rookie Williams.
BET PATRIOTS +6 (-110).
Over/Under
New England’s top-shelf defense, but lack of offensive playmakers fuel this total, which is well within the range of expectations.
Given that my score prediction lands at 38 combined points, I will be avoiding the O/U 38.5 (-110) juice on either side.
PASS.
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