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The Miami Heat (46-36) and Philadelphia 76ers (47-35) meet in the NBA Play-In Tournament at Wells Fargo Center Wednesday. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. 76ers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 2-2
Miami ended its season on a 2-game winning streak after taking down the Toronto Raptors 118-103 Sunday while failing to cover as a 16-point home favorite. C Thomas Bryant and G Jaime Jaquez Jr. each scored a game-high 18 points while Bryant added 10 rebounds for a double-double. Six Miami players scored in double figures, and the team shot 52.9% from the field in the win.
Philadelphia closed out the regular season on an 8-game winning streak after dominating the Brooklyn Nets 107-86 and covering as a 13-point home favorite Sunday. G Tyrese Maxey scored a game-high 26 points, while F Paul Reed (13 points and 12 rebounds) had a double-double. Five 76ers players scored in double figures, and the team shot 42.7% from the field in the win.
Wednesday’s winner will clinch the 7 seed in the East and play the New York Knicks in the 1st round of the NBA Playoffs, while the loser will face the winner of the game between the Atlanta Hawks and Chicago Bulls for the 8 seed.
Heat at 76ers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | 76ers -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +5.5 (-115) | 76ers -5.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 208.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Heat at 76ers key injuries
Heat
- F Duncan Robinson (back) probable
- G Terry Rozier (neck) out
76ers
- C Joel Embiid (knee) questionable
- G De’Anthony Melton (back) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Heat at 76ers picks and predictions
Prediction
76ers 112, Heat 104
Moneyline
PASS.
There is no value on Philadelphia (-225), which has home-court advantage and has won 8 of its last 10 games, including 4 of its last 5 by 10 or more points.
Against the spread
BET 76ERS -5.5 (-105).
Philadelphia is 10-0 ATS in its last 10 games, including 7-0 ATS in its last 7 as a favorite. Philly will see Embiid return to the lineup as well, which will provide needed size against a tough Miami squad.
Miami has failed to cover the spread in 2 of its last 3 games.
Over/Under
BET OVER 208.5 (-110).
While the Sixers have played good defense recently, holding opponents to 102 or fewer points in 3 of their last 5 games, 208.5 is too low of a total to bet the Under. Philly has scored 120 or more points in 3 of its last 4 games and 114 or more in 6 of its last 9.
Miami has hit the Over in 9 of its last 10 games and scored 115 or more points in 7 of its last 10. It has allowed 111 or more points in 3 of its last 5 games.
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