The Milwaukee Bucks take to the court Tuesday for a night of NBA Finals betting action. Let’s focus in on Pat Connaughton’s prop bets and lines for his upcoming outing. The point total set for Connaughton in Tuesday’s game against the Phoenix Suns is 8.5.
Connaughton records an average of 6.9 points per game this season, while connecting on 44.4% of his shot attempts. Over just his last five games, he’s averaged 11 points and 5.4 rebounds in each matchup and has shot 52.8% from the floor.
The Bucks will face the Suns on Tuesday in Game 6 of the NBA Finals, starting at 9:00 PM ET. The Bucks are being picked to win the game by oddsmakers, who list them as 5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 222.5 points. Let’s dig into some insights and stats to figure out how Connaughton will fare in this matchup, especially as it pertains to his betting markets.
Pat Connaughton prop bets breakdown
- Points Over/Under: 8.5
- Over Odds: -115
- Under Odds: -115
- Points per game: 6.9
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 7:35 PM EST on July 19, 2021.
Pat Connaughton points insights
- The 6.9 points Connaughton has scored per game this season is 1.6 fewer points than his point total set for Tuesday (8.5).
- In 35.2% of his games this season (32 of 91 matchups) Connaughton has totaled more than 8.5 points.
- Connaughton’s season-long scoring average, 6.9 points per game, is 0.5 points higher than his average points prop bet total.
- 52.6% of Connaughton’s matchups this year have seen him fall short of his point prop total (10 out of 19 chances).
- 51.6% of Connaughton’s outings this year have seen him fall short of his season-long average points prop total of 6.4 points (47 out of 91 contests).
- Teams are averaging 113.4 points per game against the Suns this season, the 11th-most allowed by a squad.
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Pat Connaughton rebound insights
- Connaughton has averaged 0.8 less rebounds per game (4.7) than his prop bet total in Tuesday’s game (5.5).
- In 36 out of 91 games this season (39.6%), Connaughton has pulled down more than 5.5 rebounds.
- Connaughton has reeled in 0.6 more rebounds (4.7 per game) than his season average prop bet (4.1).
- In 10 of his 19 opportunities (52.6%), Connaughton has outpaced his rebounds prop bet total.
- Connaughton has surpassed his average rebounds prop bet total (4.1 boards) in just 49.5% of his matchups (45 out of 91 games).
- Teams are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game against the Suns this season, the 24th-most given up by a team.
Pat Connaughton assists insights
- Connaughton has averaged 1.1 assists per game this year, 0.6 assists more than his prop bet for the matchup on Tuesday (0.5).
- In 65.9% of his matchups this season (60 out of 91) Connaughton has dished out more than 0.5 assists.
- Connaughton has averaged 0.1 less assists per game than his average assist prop bet over/under of 1.2.
- Connaughton has gone over his average assist prop bet total (1.2) in only 27 of his 91 contests (29.7%).
- Opponents of the Suns have averaged 23.6 assists per game this season, the 23rd-most against any NBA team.
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