NBA finals prop bets: Milwaukee Bucks Pat Connaughton props for 7/14/2021

Wednesday’s NBA Playoffs slate features plenty of betting action, including the Milwaukee Bucks’ Pat Connaughton prop bets. Let’s take a look at the markets and lines for Connaughton in this Finals matchup. The over/under for Connaughton’s points in …

Wednesday’s NBA Playoffs slate features plenty of betting action, including the Milwaukee Bucks’ Pat Connaughton prop bets. Let’s take a look at the markets and lines for Connaughton in this Finals matchup. The over/under for Connaughton’s points in Wednesday’s game against the Phoenix Suns is 7.5.

Over his last five outings, Connaughton has averaged 10.4 points, compared to his season average of 6.8 points per game. He’s shooting 44.1% from the field this year (52.8% in just his last five games).

The Bucks will face the Suns on Wednesday, starting at 9:00 PM ET. The Bucks are being picked to win in Game 4 of the NBA Finals by oddsmakers, who list them as 4.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 220.5 points. Let’s dig into some insights and stats to figure out how Connaughton will perform in this matchup, especially as it pertains to his betting markets.

Pat Connaughton prop bets breakdown

  • Points Over/Under: 7.5
  • Over Odds: -125
  • Under Odds: -105
  • Points per game: 6.8

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.

Lines last updated at 10:35 PM EST on July 13, 2021.

Pat Connaughton points insights

  • The 7.5 points prop bet over/under set for Connaughton on Wednesday is 0.7 more points than his season scoring average (6.8).
  • In 39.3% of his games this season (35 of 89 matchups) Connaughton has scored more than 7.5 points.
  • Connaughton’s season-long average points prop bet total, 6.4 points, is 0.4 fewer points than his per-game scoring average.
  • Less than half of the time — 47.4% of his matchups this year — Connaughton has gone over his point total (nine out of 19 opportunities).
  • Less than half of the time — 47.2% of his outings this year — Connaughton has hit the over on his season-long average point total of 6.4 points (in 42 of his 89 games).
  • Teams are averaging 113.4 points per game against the Suns this season, the 11th-most given up by a squad.

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Pat Connaughton rebound insights

  • Connaughton has averaged 0.1 more rebounds per game (4.6) than his prop bet total in Wednesday’s game (4.5).
  • In 48.3% of his games this season (43 out of 89), Connaughton has gone over his prop bet total for his next matchup (4.5 boards).
  • Connaughton has reeled in 4.6 rebounds per game, which is 0.5 more rebounds than his season average prop.
  • 52.6% of the time this year (10 of 19 chances), Connaughton has hit the over on his rebounds prop bet total.
  • In only 48.3% of his games (43 of 89 contests), Connaughton has gone over his average rebounds prop bet total (4.1).
  • Teams are collecting 43.3 rebounds per game against the Suns this season, the 24th-most allowed by a team.

Pat Connaughton assists insights

  • Connaughton has averaged 1.1 assists per game, 0.6 more than Wednesday’s assist over/under (0.5).
  • In 66.3% of his matchups this season (59 out of 89) Connaughton has collected more than 0.5 assists.
  • Connaughton’s per-game assist average (1.1) is 0.1 less than his average assist prop bet total (1.2).
  • Connaughton has covered his average assist prop over/under (1.2) in only 27 of his 89 games (30.3%).
  • Teams are dishing out 23.6 assists per game against the Suns this season, the 23rd-most allowed by a team.

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