NBA Finals action continues Tuesday, as we focus on the Milwaukee Bucks and Giannis Antetokounmpo’s prop bets and lines. The point total set for Antetokounmpo in Tuesday’s game against the Phoenix Suns is 32.5.
Antetokounmpo finishes with an average of 28.4 points, 11.4 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game this season, while connecting on 56.8% of his shot attempts. Over just his last five games, he’s averaged 32.2 points, 13 rebounds and 5.6 assists in each outing and has shot 61.2% from the floor.
The Bucks are being picked to win in Game 6 of the NBA Finals by sportsbooks, who list them as 5-point favorites, while the over/under is set at 222.5 points. The teams will meet on Tuesday starting at 9:00 PM ET. How will Antetokounmpo perform relative to his betting lines? Let’s break down his performances and dig into some insights to find out.
Giannis Antetokounmpo prop bets breakdown
- Points Over/Under: 32.5
- Over Odds: -115
- Under Odds: -115
- Points per game: 28.4
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 10:35 PM EST on July 18, 2021.
Giannis Antetokounmpo points insights
- The 32.5 point total set for Antetokounmpo’s game Tuesday is 4.1 more points than his per-game scoring average.
- In 34.6% of his games this season (28 of 81 matchups) Antetokounmpo has scored more than 32.5 points.
- Antetokounmpo’s season-long average points prop bet total, 28.9 points, is 0.5 more points than his per-game scoring average.
- 50% of Antetokounmpo’s outings this year have seen him go over his point prop total (28 out of 56 opportunities).
- In 50.6% of his matchups this year, Antetokounmpo has gone over his season-long average point total of 28.9 points (in 41 of his 81 contests).
- Teams are averaging 113.4 points per game against the Suns this season, the 11th-most allowed by a squad.
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Giannis Antetokounmpo rebound insights
- Antetokounmpo has averaged 11.4 rebounds per game, 1.1 less boards than his prop bet for Tuesday’s game (12.5).
- In 34.6% of his games this season (28 out of 81), Antetokounmpo has collected more than 12.5 boards.
- Antetokounmpo has grabbed 0.6 fewer rebounds (11.4 per game) than his season average prop bet (12).
- In only 22 of his 56 chances (39.3%), Antetokounmpo has outpaced his rebounds prop bet total.
- Opponents of the Suns have grabbed 43.3 rebounds per game this season, the 24th-most against any NBA squad.
Giannis Antetokounmpo assists insights
- Antetokounmpo has averaged 5.7 assists per game this year, 0.2 assists more than his prop bet for the matchup on Tuesday (5.5).
- In 36 out of 81 games this season (44.4%) Antetokounmpo has had more than 5.5 assists.
- Antetokounmpo’s per-game assist average (5.7) is the same as his average assist prop bet over/under.
- Antetokounmpo has dished out 5.7 or more assists (his average assist prop bet over/under) in just 36 of 81 of his contests (44.4%).
- Teams are dishing out 23.6 assists per game against the Suns this season, the 23rd-most given up by a team.
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