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The Montreal Alouettes (3-0) and the Toronto Argonauts (2-0) meet Friday for a Week 4 battle at BMO Field. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TSN/CFL+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Alouettes vs. Argonauts odds, and make our expert CFL picks and predictions.
The defending champion Alouettes are looking to show last season wasn’t a fluke. Montreal has won all 3 games to start the season, including an emphatic 47-21 win over the Ottawa RedBlacks last weekend as a 6.5-point favorite in the home opener as the Over (47.5) cashed.
The Als head out on the road where they are 2-0 this season, while going 1-1 against the spread (ATS). Montreal failed to cover as a 4-point favorite in a 23-20 win at Edmonton in Week 2 and opened the season with a 27-12 victory at Winnipeg as a 7.5-point underdog. The Under cashed in both road contests so far.
The Argonauts were expected to struggle with the CFL’s most outstanding player, QB Chad Kelly, suspended 9 games for violating the CFL’s gender-based violence policy. Instead, the Toronto offense has thrived, averaging 37.0 points per game (PPG) in a pair of wins and Over results to start the season.
Argos QB Cameron Dukes has completed a whopping 81.3% of his pass attempts for 468 yards with 5 TDs and no picks, while running for 54 yards and a pair of scores. New addition RB Ka’Deem Carey has averaged 4.8 yards per carry, helping take pressure off the pass game, while picking up 169 rushing yards and 1 TD.
Unfortunately for Toronto, Carey is listed as questionable due to a groin injury, so that’s a concern. In addition, leading receiver Dejon Brissett is out due to a knee ailment.
Alouettes at Argonauts odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:46 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Alouettes -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Argonauts +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Against the spread (ATS): Alouettes -3 (-115) | Argonauts +3 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Alouettes at Argonauts key injuries
Alouettes
- WR Regis Cibasu (hand) out
Argonauts
- OL Dejon Allen (elbow) questionable
- DL Jared Brinkman (shoulder) questionable
- WR Dejon Brissett (knee) out
- OL Isiah Cage (shoulder) questionable
- RB Ka’Deem Carey (groin) questionable
- OL Darius Ciraco (hip) out
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Alouettes at Argonauts picks and predictions
Prediction
Alouettes 30, Argonauts 23
Moneyline
MONTREAL (-165) is a solid play as a moderate favorite on the moneyline, as it isn’t priced out of line.
Toronto (+140) would be an attractive pick as a home underdog, but with Carey nursing a groin and his status in question, while leading receiver Brissett is out, the Als are the much safer play Friday.
Against the spread
MONTREAL -3 (-115) is a strong play laying the points on the road. While Dukes and Toronto have been strong on offense, it could have a different look if Carey is unable to play, putting more pressure on Dukes to perform.
The Als can do a little bit on offense, too, going for 47 points last weekend against the RedBlacks. Montreal piled up 394 passing yards, and 162 return yards, while also posting 96 yards on the ground. If the Als can cut down on the penalties, after committing 7 last weekend, it will be in even better shape. Montreal was plus-2 on turnovers, which is good news.
Over/Under
OVER 51.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.
The Als posted 47 points last weekend against the RedBlacks, but be careful, as the Under has cashed twice in 2 road contests for Montreal.
The Over has hit in both games to date for the Argonauts, who are averaging 37.0 points per game and allowing 31.5 PPG. Plus, the Over has cashed in 3 of the previous 4 meetings between these rivals at BMO Field.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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