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The No. 17 Missouri Tigers (6-1, 2-1 SEC) and No. 15 Alabama Crimson Tide (5-2, 2-2) meet in a ranked SEC clash Saturday. Kickoff from Bryant-Denny Stadium is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Missouri vs. Alabama odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Missouri beat the Auburn Tigers 24-17 Saturday while covering as a 3.5-point favorite. Mizzou put up 18 unanswered points during the back half of the 3rd quarter and the entire 4th quarter to complete the comeback win. The Tigers have won back-to-back games since being routed by No. 25 Texas A&M and are ranked No. 17 in the US LBM Coaches Poll.
Alabama, which is No. 15 in the US LBM Coaches Poll, enters after being beaten 24-17 by the No. 11 Tennessee Volunteers Saturday. The Crimson Tide failed to cover as 3.5-point favorites in the loss. Bama has lost 2 of its last 3 games since defeating No. 1 Georgia earlier in the season, being outscored 89-79 over its last 3 games.
– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Missouri at Alabama odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Missouri +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | Alabama -700 (bet $700 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Missouri +15.5 (-110) | Alabama -15.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Missouri at Alabama picks and predictions
Prediction
Alabama 27, Missouri 18
Moneyline
PASS.
Alabama will get back to its winning ways and cover here as a -800 favorite, but such a heavy favorite is never worth the risk of betting on. Pass here and bet on the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET MISSOURI +15.5 (-105).
Absolutely nothing about the way Alabama has played since beating Georgia gives me any reason to believe that the Tide will blow out Missouri here. Couple Alabama’s poor play with its defense that allows 351.9 yards per game and 21.3 points per game and you have a recipe for the Tigers to keep this one close. Missouri QB Brady Cook (ankle) and RB Nate Noel (foot) are both doubtful for this game. However, there is optimism Cook plays.
This bet is slightly risky as Mizzou did get blown out by Texas A&M only 3 games ago.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 51.5 (-115).
While Alabama’s defense is abysmal, I don’t expect Missouri’s offense to be good enough to exploit that weakness and help this game get Over 51.5 points. Missouri also has a very solid defense that allows just 273 yards and 15.6 points per game, so the Tigers will give this Bama offense some trouble.
This is a lean because both squads have very solid offenses that can put up points.
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