The Minnesota Twins (50-47) conclude a 4-game series against the Seattle Mariners (47-48) on Thursday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Twins lead 2-1
The Twins secured a 6-3 victory over the Mariners on Wednesday with 2B Edouard Julien, OF Max Kepler, and 1B Alex Kirilloff hitting home runs. Minnesota has won 5 of its last 6 games and is 2 1/2 games ahead of the Cleveland Guardians atop the AL Central.
In Wednesday’s defeat, RHP Luis Castillo struck out 11 batters and surrendered 3 ER for the Mariners. Seattle has lost 4 of its last 6 games and is 10 games back of the Texas Rangers in the AL West race.
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Twins at Mariners projected starters
RHP Pablo Lopez vs. RHP George Kirby
Lopez (5-5, 4.24 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 116 2/3 innings.
- Has posted 6 or more K’s in 17 of his 19 starts
- Has given up 3 ER or more in 6 of his last 9 starts
Kirby (8-8, 3.43 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 112 2/3 innings.
- Has walked fewer than 2 batters in 17 of his 18 starts
- Has pitched 6 innings or more in 14 of his 18 starts
Twins at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:37 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Twins +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Mariners -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-190) | Mariners -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Twins at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 5, Twins 4
Moneyline
Despite their recent struggles, the MARINERS (-135) are my pick. Lopez and Kirby are both coming off forgettable starts, but I’ll trust Kirby as he is typically able to avoid putting himself in difficult spots.
Run line/Against the spread
I’ll PASS on the pricey run line in this game even though the Twins should keep this game close on the road.
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Over/Under
OVER 7.5 (+100) is the play in this game at such a low total. The Twins have produced 5 or more runs in 6 straight games, and they’ve hit the Over in 7 straight contests. The Mariners have achieved the Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home.
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