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The Minnesota Twins (48-47) and Seattle Mariners (47-46) meet Tuesday for the 2nd game of a 4-game series. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mariners lead 1-0
Seattle won 7-6 as a -149 home favorite in the series opener Monday. The Mariners led 7-3 heading into the top of the 9th but a 3-run HR from Twins OF Max Kepler gave them a bit of a scare before they managed to shut the door. RHP Logan Gilbert pitched 5 innings with 2 ER and 5 K’s.
The Mariners have won back-to-back games and are 6-4 in their last 10 overall and 26-22 at home on the year. Monday’s loss ended a 3-game win streak for Minnesota, who is also 6-4 in its last 10 contests and 22-25 on the road this season.
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Twins at Mariners projected starters
RHP Bailey Ober vs. RHP Bryan Woo
Ober (5-4, 2.61 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 82 2/3 IP.
- Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 3-1 home loss on July 7 vs. the Baltimore Orioles
- Career vs. Seattle: 1-0, 4.00 ERA (9 IP, 4 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 10 K through 2 starts
Woo (1-1, 3.63 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 through 34 2/3 IP.
- Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 3-2 road loss on July 8 vs. the Houston Astros
- First career start vs. Minnesota
Twins at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:53 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Twins +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Mariners -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-210) | Mariners -1.5 (+170)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Twins at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 5, Mariners 4
Moneyline
LEAN TWINS (+100).
The Twins and M’s have split their last 10 meetings and both teams are 6-4 in their last 10 games overall. I like the Twins here as this is Woo’s first start vs. Minnesota and the Twins are 2-0 in Ober’s 2 starts vs. Seattle.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
I’m confident that the Twins +1.5 (-210) will cover here as 3 of Seattle’s last 4 wins in this series were of the 1-run variety. However, the line is not worth the juice, so bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.
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Over/Under
LEAN OVER 7.5 (-110).
The Over is 5-0 in Minnesota’s last 5 overall and 7-2-1 in its last 10. The Over is also 2-0 in each of Ober’s 2 career starts vs. Seattle.
The Over is 3-2 in Woo’s last 5 starts.
This is only a lean because the Under has been slightly safer in recent Minnesota-Seattle matchups and has cashed more frequently in Seattle’s last 10 overall.
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