The Minnesota Twins (10-5) and New York Yankees (9-6) close out their 4-game series Sunday. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is slated for 1:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Twins lead 2-1.
After Minnesota drubbed the Yanks 11-2 in Thursday’s series opener and scored a 4-3 come-from-behind win Friday, the Yankees fought back and shut down the Twins’ offense in a 6-1 victory on Saturday.
The Yankees went 5-2 against the Twins last season and 6-1 against them in 2021. Despite allowing 11 earned runs in Thursday’s game, New York pitching has logged a 3.42 ERA over its last 8 games.
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Twins at Yankees projected starters
RHP Pablo Lopez vs. RHP Gerrit Cole
Lopez (1-0, 1.35 ERA) is making his 4th start of the season. He has a 0.65 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 20 IP.
- Has gone at least 7 innings in his last 2 starts; threw 98 pitches Tuesday vs. the Chicago White Sox
- Has benefited from a .184 batting average on balls in play
Cole (3-0, 1.40 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 19 1/3 IP.
- Current Minnesota batters have banged out an aggregate .827 OPS against him
- Has a 3.01 ERA, 1.00 WHIP in his last 194 2/3 IP at Yankee Stadium
Twins at Yankees odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:48 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Twins +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-160) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Twins at Yankees picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 5, Twins 4
Moneyline
New York has had Minnesota’s number in past years, but there is some gray area in Sunday’s pitching matchup. No interest in the sides on this game, just the Over. PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
AVOID.
Respecting these tags. On a Twins get-away day heading into an off day Monday and with an Over lean, the Yankees getting +145 for a multi-run lead would be enticing. But don’t expect that kind of sway in the numbers before 1st pitch.
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Over/Under
Both starting pitchers tote favorable BABIPs into this game. Cole only got 6 swinging strikes in his last start, and although he’s a workhorse could succumb to the effects of 95-plus pitches in each start so far. He also has struggled against current Twins bats.
Lopez makes this start on 4 days’ rest. Over his career that has not been anywhere near his best interval. The hurler who has yielded a mere 3.84 ERA on a .696 OPS in his career, has on 4-day rest coughed up a 4.59 ERA on a .744 OPS.
Fading the pitching and respecting the Yankee offense especially, BACK THE OVER 7 (-120).
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