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The Minnesota Twins (11-13) and Los Angeles Angels (10-15) open a 3-game series at Angel Stadium Friday. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET (MLB.TV Free Game of the Day). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; split last season 3-3
The Twins are coming off a 4-game sweep of the Chicago White Sox in Minneapolis. Minnesota won the series finale 6-3 Thursday as a -195 favorite with the Over (8) hitting.
The Angels dropped 2 of 3 home games against the Baltimore Orioles in their most recent series. They wrapped up the 3-game set with a 6-5 loss Thursday as +115 underdogs as the Over (9.5) cashed.
Twins at Angels projected starters
RHP Bailey Ober vs. LHP Patrick Sandoval
Ober (1-1, 4.91 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 18 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 4-3 home victory vs. Detroit Tigers Saturday
- Career vs. Angels: 0-0, 3.38 ERA (5 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 1 start, a 6-2 home loss July 25, 2021
Sandoval (1-3, 6.75 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.83 WHIP, 5.9 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 21 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 7 ER, 6 H, 5 BB, 6 K in 7-5 loss at Cincinnati Reds Saturday
- Career vs. Twins: 1-2, 2.95 ERA (18 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 1.09 WHIP in 3 starts
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Twins at Angels odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:03 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Twins -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Angels -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+145) | Angels +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Twins at Angels picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 5, Angels 4
Moneyline
The TWINS (-115) should have no trouble plating runs against Sandoval, who has allowed 3 or more earned runs in 3 of his 5 starts. Ober’s stats don’t look great after giving up 8 earned runs in his season debut at the Kansas City Royals March 31, but he’s been better since, allowing a total of just 2 earned runs over his last 3 starts.
BET TWINS (-115).
Run line/Against the spread
Betting the Twins to win by 2 or more runs on the road seems aggressive, and I want no part of laying -175 on the Angels +1.5, who have lost 4 of their last 6 games by 2 or more runs.
PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.
Over/Under
This number is right where I would set it. I’m personally only betting Twins ML, but if I had to play the total, I would take the Over. The Over has hit in back-to-back games for the Angels and 3 straight for the Twins. With Sandoval on the mound, Minnesota should put up at least 4 runs.
LEAN OVER 8 (-115).
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