The Minnesota Twins (33-47) and Kansas City Royals (34-47) play the second game of a three-game set Saturday at Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Griffin Jax is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 1-0 with a 7.82 ERA and 1.50 WHIP with 5 BB and 11 K in 12 2/3 IP over four relief appearances.
This will mark the first career start for Jax. He allowed 3 runs on 3 hits and 2 walks with 2 strikeouts in 4 1/3 IP in a relief win June 25 against the Cleveland Indians marking his longest outing of the season.
LHP Danny Duffy is the projected starting pitcher for the Royals. He is 4-3 with a 2.44 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 48 IP over nine starts and one relief appearance.
Duffy was batted around his last time out Monday for 4 runs on 5 hits and a walk in just 3 1/3 innings receiving a no-decision against the Boston Red Sox. He hasn’t won since returning from the IL June 23, with his last win coming May 1 at Minnesota where he allowed 1 run, 2 hits and 3 walks with 7 strikeouts over 7 innings.
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Twins at Royals odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:47 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Twins +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Royals -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Twins +1.5 (-155) | Royals -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under: 10 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Royals 7, Twins 4
Money line (ML)
The ROYALS (-145) snapped a nine-game losing skid Friday with a 7-4 win in the series opener. They will look to beat the Twins and win back-to-back games for the first time since June 20-22.
I like Kansas City behind Duffy, who last won May 1 in Minnesota with a seven-inning quality start.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The ROYALS -1.5 (+125) are a value play with their southpaw on the hill. The Twins bullpen may have to do some heavy lifting today, and that’s not a good thing. Minnesota is second last in the American League with a 4.93 bullpen ERA.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 10 (-105) is the lean here, especially since the Twins bullpen will likely used sooner rather than later. The wind conditions will be rather neutral in this one, with a slight breeze coming in from straightaway center field, but it won’t be enough to knock down the potential long balls.
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