The Minnesota Twins (60-56) and the Detroit Tigers (51-63) wrap up a 4-game series Thursday at Comerica Park. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tigers lead 6-4
The Twins sit atop the AL Central, 4 1/2 games clear of the 2nd-place Cleveland Guardians. It’s no thanks to the lowly Detroit Tigers, however, who have topped the Twins in each of the past 2 games and 6 of 10 meetings overall this season. The Over and Under have alternated in each of Minnesota’s last 6 games.
The Tigers have scored 15 runs in the 2 wins against the Twins, the most runs in consecutive games since plating 18 runs at Coors Field in 2 games from July 1-2. The Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games for Detroit.
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Twins at Tigers projected starters
RHP Kenta Maeda vs. RHP Reese Olson
Maeda (3-6, 4.22 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 59 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 12-1 home win vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Saturday
- 2023 road splits: 1-4, 3.16 ERA (31 1/3 IP, 11 ER – 4 HR), .205 opponent batting average (OBA) in 7 starts
- 2023 vs. Detroit: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 8 K in a 4-1 road win June 23
Olson (1-5, 4.94 ERA) makes his 10th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 54 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 8-0 home loss vs. Tampa Bay Rays Friday
- 2023 home splits: 1-3, 5.68 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 20 ER – 7 HR), .234 OBA in 5 starts and 2 relief appearances
Twins at Tigers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Twins -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Tigers +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+115) | Tigers +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Twins at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 6, Tigers 4
Moneyline
The TWINS (-150) look to level the 4-game series at 2 games apiece in the finale, and they’re a good bet behind Maeda. While his overall results have been rather uneven, he’s twirled 5 scoreless frames against Detroit back in late June. The pitching scales are tipped slightly in Minnesota’s favor in this getaway game, as Olson has just been too erratic.
While Olson did top the Twins in a start earlier this season, he is 0-2 with a 7.30 ERA across 12 1/2 IP across 3 starts and 1 relief appearance under the sun.
Run line/Against the spread
The TWINS -1.5 (+115) are worth a look on the run line.
While Minnesota has failed to win or cover the run line in the past 2 games as a favorite, the Twins are a respectable 3-3 across the past 6 games on the run line as favorites.
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Over/Under
OVER 8.5 (-115) is the lean, but go very lightly.
The Over has alternated in each of the past 6 games for the Twins, with an 11-5 edge to the Over in the previous 16 road outings.
For the Tigers, the Over is 3-1 in the past 4 games overall.
The Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 head-to-head meetings, too.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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