The Detroit Tigers (32-41) welcome the Minnesota Twins (38-38) Friday to Comerica Park. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Tigers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tigers lead 3-1
The Twins have won 2 straight games, but have won just 3 of their last 8. Minnesota is just 15-19 on the road this season and is 4-6 in its last 10 away from home.
The Tigers are 17-19 at home and 6-4 in their last 10 games. Detroit has won 5 of its last 7 games as well.
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Twins at Tigers projected starters
RHP Kenta Maeda vs. LHP Joey Wentz
Maeda (0-4, 9.00 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.63 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 16 innings.
- The 35-year-old, who missed last season with an injury, has not started since April 26
- In that last start vs. the New York Yankees: 3 IP, 11 H, 10 ER, 2 BB, 2 K
Wentz (1-7, 6.82 ERA) makes his 15th appearance and 14th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 62 innings.
- The 25-year-old has struggled this season after going 2-2 in 7 starts and having a 3.03 ERA as a rookie last year.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 9 K in 2-0 loss to Minnesota Twin on Saturday
- Tigers are 5-9 with Wentz on the mound
Twins at Tigers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 12:02 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Twins -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Tigers +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+110) | Tigers +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Twins at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 6, Tigers 5
Moneyline
PASS.
The Twins haven’t been great on the road this season, and they haven’t played well against the Tigers either.
Couple that with starting Maeda, and it’s not a great recipe for success. They are still the better side, so I would prefer to play the underdog Detroit on the run line in this situation.
Run line/Against the spread
BET TIGERS +1.5 (-135).
Maeda is older and has struggled in half of his starts this season and he has not pitched since April 26. That may not bode well for Minnesota here.
Detroit is also 18-18 on the run line as the home team which actually ranks tied for the 7th-best cover rate in the MLB. Detroit is also 34-30 on the run line as an underdog. Minnesota is 23-28 on the run line as a favorite.
Considering the trends and the value here, take TIGERS +1.5 (-135).
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Over/Under
LEAN OVER 8.5 (-115).
Neither pitcher has been great this season, and their lacking support is reason enough to think the Over is the better play.
On top of that, the Tigers are 39-32-2 O/U and have topped the total in 3 of their last 4 games. The Twins have gone Over in 6 of their last 8 games and are 4-1 O/U in their last 5.
Take the OVER 8.5 (-115).
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