The Minnesota Twins (57-73) and Detroit Tigers (62-69) meet Monday for a makeup of a July 16 postponement. First pitch is set for 2:10 p.m. ET at Comerica Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Twins vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Bailey Ober is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 1-2 with a 4.06 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 9.4 K/9, and 2.2 BB/9 through 68 2/3 IP across
- Is coming off 5 scoreless innings in his last start and owns a 2.78 ERA in the second half.
- Struggled in a July 10 outing against Detroit: 3 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 2 home runs allowed.
RHP Casey Mize is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. He is 7-6 with a 3.55 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 7.0 K/9, and 2.6 BB/9 over 129 1/3 IP in 24 starts.
- Pitched 5 scoreless innings against the St. Louis Cardinals in his last start. That turn came after posting a 6.08 ERA over his previous three starts.
- Has benefited from a .253 batting average on balls in play.
Twins at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:29 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Twins -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Tigers +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Against the spread/ATS: Twins -1.5 (+115) | Tigers +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)
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Prediction
Twins 5, Tigers 3
Money line (ML)
The Twins are coming off a weekend home stand against the Milwaukee Brewers where they took two of three games and will be returning to Minneapolis for a two-game interleague set against the Chicago Cubs after Monday’s contest in the Motor City.
The Tigers dropped two of three games against the Toronto Blue Jays over the weekend and are in the middle of a seven-game stretch on home turf. Bengal pitching has been solid of late as they’ve recorded a 3.35 ERA in August, but Detroit has gone just 12-12 because of a slumping offense that has a .662 OPS along that span.
The Twins and Tigers have thus far played a taut season series. Minnesota is up eight games to seven and is a plus-9 in run differential.
With Ober as a starter to leverage and Mize an opposing mounds-man to fade, and with the two clubs having some slack to match in their records (favoring Minnesota and knocking Detroit), TAKE THE TWINS (-135).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
More play in the numbers reveals the Minnesota bullpen to be undervalued. The opposite holds true for the Tigers offense, which has benefited from some inflated BABIP figures in clutch situations.
Bettors willing to take on the risk of the run-line proposition should CONSIDER ACTION ON MINNESOTA -1.5 (+115).
Over/Under (O/U)
The lean here is on the Under, but it would be best to avoid the pricing on that premium at 9.5 runs. PASS.
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