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The Minnesota Twins (76-70) and Chicago White Sox (56-90) open a 4-game set Thursday at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Twins lead 6-3
The Twins lost 5-4 as +107 home underdogs vs. the Tampa Bay Rays as the Over (8.5) cashed Wednesday. Minnesota has lost 3 of its last 4 games but still owns a 7½-game lead over the 2nd-place Cleveland Guardians in the AL Central.
The White Sox lost 7-1 as -148 home favorites vs. the Kansas City Royals as the Under (9.5) hit Wednesday. The White Sox have lost 4 of their last 5 games and have been eliminated from the postseason.
Twins at White Sox projected starters
RHP Kenta Maeda vs. RHP José Ureña
Maeda (4-7, 4.65 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.7 K/9 in 89 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 8-4 home victory vs. New York Mets Saturday
- 2023 road stats: 1-5, 3.42 ERA (47 1/3 IP, 18 ER) in 10 starts
- Career vs. White Sox: 2-2, 5.58 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 19 ER) in 6 starts
Ureña (0-5, 8.46 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 2.10 WHIP, 6.4 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 in 22 1/3 innings with the White Sox and Colorado Rockies.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 3-1 loss at Detroit Tigers Saturday
- 2023 home stats: 0-2, 8.76 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 12 ER) in 3 starts (all with Rockies)
- Career vs. Twins: 0-1, 6.57 ERA (12 1/3 IP, 9 ER) in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance
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Twins at White Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:19 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Twins -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | White Sox +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (-120) | White Sox +1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Twins at White Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Twins 4, White Sox 3
Moneyline
The Twins (-190) should beat the White Sox for the 5th straight time, especially with Ureña on the mound for Chicago. However, the price on Twins (-190) moneyline is too high.
PASS. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.
Run line/Against the spread
Ureña has struggled the last 2 seasons and will probably allow multiple runs on Thursday, but I would be more uncomfortable betting the Twins to win a road game by 2 or more runs. Minnesota is barely above .500 as a road favorite this season (18-17 straight up) and is just 15-20 on the run line, according to TeamRankings.com.
While betting on Ureña has not been profitable this season, he did look good last time out in his 1st start with the White Sox.
BET WHITE SOX +1.5 (+100).
Over/Under
The Under is 22-16-2 (57.9%) when the White Sox are home underdogs this season. Ureña gave up just 1 earned run last time out, and Maeda has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 11 of his 18 starts this season.
BET UNDER 9 (-105).
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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