The Minnesota Twins (17-13) and Chicago White Sox (9-21) play the middle game of a 3-game set at Guaranteed Rate Field Wednesday. First pitch is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 2-2
The Twins fell 3-2 in 10 innings Tuesday night, wasting an awesome performance from RHP Joe Ryan, who allowed 1 hit and struck out 7 over 6 scoreless innings. The Twins managed just 3 hits in the game and are 6-4 over their last 10 games and 7-7 away from Target Field on the season.
White Sox OF Andrew Benintendi robbed a homer to save the game and then hit a walk-off single in the 10th to end it. RHP Michael Kopech was solid, aside from 5 BB, as he allowed 1 ER on 1 H with 7 K. Things won’t get any easier for the Twins Wednesday with White Sox ace RHP Dylan Cease pitching.
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Twins at White Sox projected starters
RHP Louie Varland vs. RHP Dylan Cease
Varland (0-0, 4.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 through 6 IP.
- Tossed a career-high 8 K in his season debut on April 14 at the New York Yankees
- 2 career starts vs. White Sox: 10 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 8 K
Cease (2-1, 4.15 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 through 30 1/3 IP.
- Melted down in one of his worst career starts last time out against the Tampa Bay Rays Thursday: 6 ER on 9 H, 2 BB and 3 K in 4 IP
- Last 5 starts vs. Twins: 3-2, 2.87 ERA and 34 K in 31 1/3 IP
Twins at White Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:47 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Twins +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | White Sox -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-190) | White Sox -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Twins at White Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
White Sox 4, Twins 3
Moneyline
The White Sox have won 2 in a row after dropping 8 straight. They’re 2-2 against the AL Central, 2-11 against the AL East and 5-8 against everyone else. If Cease can limit the walks, he’ll be determined to put his bad last start to rest.
Take the WHITE SOX (-125).
Run line/Against the spread
Chicago is 12-18 on the RL and 5-9 straight up at home this year. Minnesota is 17-13 and 8-6 on the road. That’s the side I would lean — but we’re not going to pay -190.
I thought about going for Cease K’s here, but he has topped out at 5 K’s in his last 3 starts and it’s too volatile to handicap.
PASS.
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Over/Under
It’s a chilly 47 degrees with a 10-mph breeze coming in from left-center field. The last 3 meetings between these sides have been Under results, and the last 4 games had 7 or fewer runs. Minnesota is 14th with 4.56 runs/9, and Chicago is 22nd with 4.15 runs/9.
Those factors with Cease on the hill make me LEAN UNDER 7.5 (+100).
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