The Minnesota Twins (40-55) and Chicago White Sox (58-37) play the finale of a four-game set Wednesday at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Michael Pineda is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 3-5 with a 4.11 ERA and 1.24 WHIP with 8.1 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 over 61 1/3 IP across 12 starts.
Pineda was roughed up for five earned runs, 12 hits and no walks with four strikeouts in 5 1/3 innings in a loss against the White Sox last time out July 7.
He is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and .372 opponent batting average across 10 2/3 innings in a pair of starts against the ChiSox this season.
RHP Dylan Cease is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox. He is 7-5 with a 4.15 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 11.7 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 across 97 2/3 IP in 19 starts.
Cease was dumped for six runs, six hits and two walks with eight strikeouts across 5 1/3 innings in a loss at Minnesota July 5. He is 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA in three starts in July.
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Twins at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:55 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Twins +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | White Sox -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Twins +1.5 (-155) | White Sox -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
White Sox 8, Twins 4
Money line (ML)
The WHITE SOX (-150) are moderate favorites in the finale as they look for the series win. They have outscored the ChiSox 14-8 in the past two outings. They’re a good bet to take down Pineda, who has really struggled in his two previous showings against Chicago this season.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The WHITE SOX -1.5 (+125) are worth a roll of the dice in this series finale mainly because of Pineda’s struggles against them. Chicago has posted 6.4 runs per game against the past 10 outings, and they’re 4-1 across the past five against Minnesota covering the run line in each of those wins.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 9 (-120) is the best play on the board. Pineda is very giving against the White Sox, and Cease was knocked around by the Twins last time he faced them, too. The Over is 18-4 in Minnesota’s past 22 games as a road underdog while going 6-1 in the past seven meetings in Chicago, too.
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