The Minnesota Twins (55-71) face the Boston Red Sox (72-56) in the rubber match of their three-game series Thursday. First pitch is 7:10 p.m. ET at Fenway Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Twins vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Twins RHP John Gant (4-7, 3.77 ERA) makes his 16th start of the year but only his second for the Twins. He has a 1.52 WHIP, 6.0 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 88 1/3 IP.
- Gant started his first 14 appearances of the year with the St. Louis Cardinals before moving to the bullpen. He was traded to the Twins and appeared in relief for seven games before moving to the starting rotation.
- Allowed 4 runs on 3 hits and a walk over 3 1/3 innings taking a loss in a 7-5 defeat at the New York Yankees in his first start with Minnesota.
Red Sox LHP Chris Sale (2-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his third start. He has allowed 11 H and 1 BB with 13 K through 10 IP.
- Suffered an elbow injury in Aug. 2019 and subsequently missed the 2020 season after undergoing Tommy John surgery.
- Tossed 5 scoreless frames in his last start Aug. 20 against the Texas Rangers.
Twins at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 8:19 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Twins +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Red Sox -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Twins +2.5 (-122) | Red Sox -2.5 (-102)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Prediction
Red Sox 8, Twins 4
Money line (ML)
The Twins lost four straight before picking up the first win of their six-game road trip Wednesday. They won four of their previous five games before setting out. Minnesota is 2-4 against Boston, 25-38 on the road, and 30-45 against teams with a record over .500.
Boston is 40-26 at home and 7-3 in its last 10 games at Fenway. Sale won his first two starts, although he didn’t pitch more than 5 innings in either.
I like the Red Sox to win but at -300 we have to PASS on the money line bet. Look at the spread and the total for action on this game.
FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Twins have the worst ATS record at 49-77 ATS and they also own the worst road ATS record at 26-37 ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread in just two of its last eight games.
The Red Sox are 66-62 ATS and 32-34 ATS at home. They are 6-5 ATS in their last 11 games but eight of their last 10 wins have been by 3 or more runs.
Take the RED SOX -2.5 (-102).
Over/Under (O/U)
Five of the Twins’ last six games have finished with 10 or more runs.
The Red Sox’s last four games have had at least 10 runs.
Both games of this series so far have had at least 10 runs.
Take OVER 9.5 (-125).
For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Jess Root on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]