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The Minnesota Twins (44-36) and Arizona Diamondbacks (39-41) close out their 3-game series on Thursday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 3:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
After losing the opener 5-4 on Tuesday, the Twins won 8-3 on Wednesday, jumping out to an 6-0 lead. The Over (9) cashed as Minnesota has won 3 of its last 4 games.
The Diamondbacks only managed 4 hits in the loss on Wednesday, their 3rd setback in the last 4 games.
Twins at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP David Festa vs. LHP Jordan Montgomery
Festa is making his MLB debut, getting the call up from AAA St. Paul. In 14 starts in AAA, he was 3-2 with a 3.77 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 13.1 K/9 in 59 2/3 IP.
- Drafted by Twins in the 13th round in 2021 out of Seton Hall
- Averaged 11.1 K/9 in 4 minor league seasons
Montgomery (6-4, 5.71 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.57 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 63 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 5-4 road win over Philadelphia Phillies on Friday
- Is 0-1 with 7.01 ERA in 5 career starts vs. Minnesota
- Is 3-0 with 2.70 ERA over last 3 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Twins at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:06 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Twins -105 (bet $105 to win $105) | Diamondbacks -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+155) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Twins at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 6, Twins 5
Moneyline
The Twins have won 9 of their last 13 games, but will turn to a rookie making his 1st MLB start in the rubber game of the series. They are 21-20 on the road.
Arizona is 20-19 at home and 11-5 in the last 16 games at Chase Field.
Montgomery has won 3 straight starts and Arizona has scored 5 or more in each of those starts. The Diamondbacks are 12-0 in their last 12 games scoring 5 or more runs.
The Twins have allowed 5 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games.
BET DIAMONDBACKS (-115).
Run line/Against the spread
Expecting an Arizona win, but betting them to cover the spread at -190 is not worth the wager. You gets better value with the moneyline.
Over/Under
Both games of the series so far hit the Over. Four of the Diamondbacks’ last 5 games have had at least 9 total runs while 7 of the Twins’ last 9 games have have at least 9 total runs.
BET OVER 9 (-105).
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