The Minnesota Timberwolves (15-25) visit the Indiana Pacers (26-15) Friday at Bankers Life Fieldhouse for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze the Timberwolves-Pacers sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Timberwolves at Pacers: Key Injuries
Timberwolves
- SF Jake Layman (toe) out
- PF Karl-Anthony Towns (knee) questionable
Pacers
- SG Victor Oladipo (knee) out
Timberwolves at Pacers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated Friday at 12:55 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Pacers 118, Timberwolves 104
Moneyline (ML)
The Pacers (-358) are heavy, heavy favorites at home, where they are 16-5 for the season. They’re 5-5 across their last 10 games but on a three-game winning streak, including taking the first half of this home-and-home 104-99 Wednesday in Minnesota. The T-Wolves (+280) offer close to a 3-1 return on your investment, but they’re 9-12 on the road, 4-6 across their last 10 games and on a three-game losing streak — plus they just traded starting PG Jeff Teague.
Indiana is the pick to win this game, but we’ll PASS with the chalky -385 odds returning a profit of just $2.60.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Our value play is backing the PACERS (-7.5, -115) on the spread, where they’ll need to win by at least 10 points. They’re 23-17-1 against the spread overall and 12-8-1 at home. The Wolves are 16-22-2 ATS overall and 11-9-1 on the road.
Indiana outscores its opposition by an average of 109.2-106.1 (3.1 points per game) while Minnesota is outscored 114.5-111.3 (3.2 PPG). The Pacers are 18-7-1 ATS when on equal rest with their opponent and Minnesota is just 12-14-1 in those situations. Back the healthier, and stronger home side.
Over/Under (O/U)
Take the OVER 216.5 (-115). The total is below the point-per-game averages of the two teams, both offensively and defensively. Wednesday’s game fell well short of this number, but look for a better output from the Pacers at home.
Esten’s NBA betting record: 145-114
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