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The Minnesota Timberwolves look to avoid a sweep by the Dallas Mavericks Tuesday in Game 4 of the best-of-7 Western Conference Finals. Tip-off from American Airlines Center is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Mavericks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Dallas took a 3-0 series lead with Saturday’s 116-107 win as a 1.5-point home favorite. The Mavs were led by the G duo of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving, who each scored 33 points, Dallas shot 55.9% from the field and 50% (14-of-28) from deep in the victory.
Minnesota F Karl-Anthony Towns continues to struggle in this series as he put up only 14 points on 5-of-18 shooting from the field, including 0-of-8 from 3 in the loss. KAT is only 3-for-22 (13.6%) on 3-point attempts this series, and 4-for-32 on 3-‘s (12.5%) in his last 5 playoff games.
Timberwolves at Mavericks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:51 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Mavericks -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +2.5 (-115) | Mavericks -2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 209.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Timberwolves at Mavericks key injuries
Timberwolves
- G Mike Conley (Achilles) questionable
Mavericks
- G Luka Doncic (knee, ankle) questionable
- C Dereck Lively II (neck) doubtful
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Timberwolves at Mavericks picks and predictions
Prediction
Mavericks 107, Timberwolves 106
Moneyline
LEAN MAVERICKS (-130).
Dallas is cookin’. After being tied 2-2 in its last series vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, Dallas has rolled off 5 consecutive wins and is 8-2 in its last 10 games.
The Mavericks are also 4-1 in their last 5 home games, including 2-0 at home when they can clinch a series.
This is only a lean because there is always a risk when betting against a team as good as Minnesota that is not only facing elimination, but is a loss away from getting swept.
Against the spread
LEAN TIMBERWOLVES +2.5 (-115).
Minnesota is a very good team on both sides of the ball, making each game in this series very competitive. Expect that to continue here with Minnesota’s season on the line.
This is a very slight lean because Minnesota is 0-3 ATS in this series and because of how bad KAT has looked the last 3 games. If his struggles continue Tuesday, the Timberwolves’ season will end and it’s unlikely they cover.
Over/Under
BET OVER 209.5 (-115).
The Over has hit in 2 of Minnesota’s last 3 road games and has hit in back-to-back home games for Dallas. The Over also has cashed in every game of this series.
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