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The Minnesota Lynx and Connecticut Sun meet Friday for Game 3 of the best-of-5 WNBA semifinals. Tip-off at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn., is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Lynx vs. Sun odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.
Playoff series: Tied 1-1; Sun won regular-season series 2-1
The No. 3 seed Sun seized home-court advantage with a 73-70 win in Game 1 over the No. 2 seed Lynx Sunday, cashing as 3.5-point underdogs as the Under (151.5) hit.
In Game 2, Minnesota leveled the series with a 77-70 win and cover as a 4.5-point favorite as the Under (152.5) cashed. Sun F Alyssa Thomas had a double-double with 18 points and 10 rebounds, while Lynx F Napheesa Collier struggled with 9 points on 3-of-14 shooting, although she made up for it with 12 rebounds, 5 assists and 4 blocked shots.
Connecticut holds a slight 3-2 edge in the season series, including the regular season. All 5 games have been decided by 7 or fewer points, with the average margin of victory 3.6 points per game.
Just on a side note, if you see the Sun wearing ‘Keesusk’ across their chests in Game 3, it’s an alternate jersey. Connecticut is owned by the Mohegan Tribe, and the jersey pays homage to its indigenous roots. Keesusk simply means sun in the Mohegan language.
Lynx at Sun odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Lynx +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Sun -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Lynx +2.5 (-115) | Sun -2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 151.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Lynx at Sun picks and predictions
Prediction
Sun 77, Lynx 72
Moneyline
Sun ML (-135) is just a little more expensive than laying the points. If you like Connecticut, PASS on the moneyline, and take the home team to get it done by at least 3 points in Game 3.
Against the spread
Betting the SUN -2.5 (-105) is better than laying -135 on the straight-up win. That is, unless you are totally sold on a Connecticut win, but only by 1-2 points.
The Lynx +2.5 (-115) are 3-2 ATS in the 5 meetings this season. However, Connecticut is 6-3 SU in the past 9 meetings. It’s a tough play, as Minnesota is 7-2 ATS in the past 9 road outings, including a 78-76 win at Connecticut in the penultimate game of the regular season as a similar 1.5-point underdog Sept. 17.
However, Connecticut is 2-1-1 ATS in the past 4 games at home, including 1-0-1 ATS in the first 2 playoff games against Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever Sept. 22-25.
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Over/Under
UNDER 151.5 (-105) is worth a look in Game 3.
The total has gone low in both games of this series, while going 3-1 in 4 postseason games for the Sun.
The Under is also 9-3 in the past 12 games for Connecticut, while going 4-2 in the past 6 contests at Mohegan Sun Arena. Meanwhile, the total has split 3-3 in the past 6 road games for the Lynx.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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