The Minnesota Golden Gophers (13-7 overall, 6-7 Big Ten) visit the Maryland Terrapins (10-10, 4-9) for a Sunday evening Big Ten clash at Xfinity Center in College Park, Md. Tip-off will be at 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Minnesota-Maryland college basketball odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
Minnesota at Maryland: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Minnesota +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Maryland -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Minnesota +2.5 (-110) | Maryland -2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 138.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Minnesota at Maryland: Three things to know
- Maryland plays a slow-tempo style of basketball. The Terrapins rank last in the conference in scoring (69.5 points per game) but third in the circuit in defense (66.4 PPG). Maryland has its ups and downs in defending field goals, but the Terps are consistently strong on the defensive boards: they have held foes under nine offensive rebounds in seven of their last nine games.
- Minnesota is coming off back-to-back wins. Both of those games were at home and the Golden Gophers haven’t won on the road this season. They’ve lost eight in a row since defeating the Northwestern Wildcats Feb. 23 of last season. In effective field-goal numbers, the Gophers are outshooting opponents, 49% to 43% at home. On the road, they’re being outshot, 59% to 40%.
- Maryland defeated Minnesota 63-49 Jan. 23. The Gophers shot just 21.7% from 3-point range and 64% from the foul line in that game. The Terps won last season’s lone meeting 74-73 and have won five straight against UM (4-0-1 against the spread).
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Minnesota at Maryland: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Maryland 69, Minnesota 67
Money line (ML)
Minnesota is on better recent trend lines than Maryland. Games against Rutgers, Purdue and Nebraska have spelled enough of a step forward to make the Gophers a consideration here.
Hold out for +135 or better odds. PASS.
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Against the spread (ATS)
Minnesota’s road woes are a) in a small sample, and b) just about too woeful to be real. The Maryland offense — and especially distance shooting — is on a downward trend.
Consider a line watch here: A +3 would be a solid margin to leverage but MINNESOTA +2.5 (-110) is a workable play.
Over/Under (O/U)
The outlook for combined free-throw rates, 3-point accuracy, turnover-transition points and second-chance points spells Under. So do the recent trend lines for Minnesota’s pace and the points per possession for both teams.
The Under is 4-2 in six recent-game comps against slower teams like Maryland.
BACK THE UNDER 138.5 (-110).
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