Milwaukee Bucks at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Phoenix Suns odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Bucks (35-21) visit the Phoenix Suns (44-10) in a rematch of last season’s NBA Finals. Tip-off at Footprint Center is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Bucks at Suns odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Milwaukee is on a four-game winning streak and has scored at least 131 points in each of its last three outings. The Bucks are 5-1 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) over the past two weeks.

Phoenix has won 14 of its last 15 including three straight road games at the Washington Wizards (95-80 Saturday), Chicago Bulls (127-124 Monday) and the Philadelphia 76ers (114-109 Tuesday).

The Bucks beat the Suns in last season’s NBA Finals 4-2 SU and ATS. But, Phoenix was 2-0 SU and ATS versus Milwaukee last regular season.

Bucks at Suns odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Bucks +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Suns -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Bucks +3.5 (-112) | Suns -3.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Bucks at Suns key injuries

Bucks

  • SG Grayson Allen (hip) probable

Suns

  • None.

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Bucks at Suns odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 118, Suns 113

Money line

SPRINKLE on the BUCKS (+130) with the plan of hitting their spread harder.

Phoenix is playing better this season; the Suns are tied for first in net rating. However, Milwaukee is playing better entering this game and F Giannis Antetokounmpo might be playing the best basketball of his career.

The Bucks have a higher non-garbage time net rating and ATS margin than the Suns over the past two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Giannis is averaging 33.5 points on 76.3% true shooting (.676/.533/.756) with 12.0 rebounds, 7.5 assists and a plus-53.0 net rating (158 offensive rating) in four games in February.

Giannis also averaged 35.2 points on 61.8% shooting with 13.2 rebounds and 5.0 assists in last season’s Bucks-Suns six-game NBA Finals,

Again, if it’s either-or, take Milwaukee plus the points but I’m SPRINKLING a tiny wager on the BUCKS (+130).

Against the spread

Definitely BET the BUCKS +3.5 (-112) heavier than or instead of their money line because of the aforementioned logic and since Milwaukee’s spread is the sharper play.

The Bucks are 6-3 ATS on the road versus teams above-.500 while the Suns are 3-7 ATS at home versus teams above-.500.

For the record, the BUCKS +3.5 (-112) is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

PASS.

Both teams play at a top-10 pace and are in the top-seven of effective field goal shooting so that’s why I’m staying away from the Under 233.5 (-115).

However, I cannot fully endorse an Over 233.5 (-107) wager because a vast majority of the market is also on the Over and I hate following a crowd of people in sports betting. Plus I’m just more comfortable with the Milwaukee side here.

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