The Milwaukee Bucks (27-14) and Miami Heat (22-20) meet Thursday at The Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Bucks vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Bucks covered the spread as 4.5-point favorites Wednesday with a 114-105 win at the Atlanta Hawks. G Jrue Holiday scored a game-high 27 points as Milwaukee improved to 4-1 in its last 5 games. The Bucks are 5-0 against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 games when playing the 2nd night of a back-to-back.
The Heat failed to cover as 2-point home favorites in a 112-111 win vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder Tuesday. F Jimmy Butler hit the game-winning free throw with 12 seconds remaining as Miami set an NBA record by making all 40 of its free throw attempts.
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Bucks at Heat odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:42 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Bucks +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Heat -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Bucks +3.5 (-105) | Heat -3.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Bucks at Heat key injuries
Bucks
- Not yet submitted
Heat
- C Bam Adebayo (wrist) probable
- G Tyler Herro (Achilles) out
- G Kyle Lowry (knee) out
- F Caleb Martin (quad) out
- F Duncan Robinson (finger) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Bucks at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 107, Bucks 103
Moneyline
BET HEAT (-160).
This is the 1st game of 4 meetings this season with another game set for Saturday. The Bucks and Heat alternated wins and losses over the last 4 meetings last season with Milwaukee winning the last matchup 120-119 at Fiserv Forum March 2. The Heat should be able to take advantage of being the better-rested team at home while also getting back C Bam Adebayo (wrist) who missed Tuesday’s game vs. the Thunder.
Against the spread
PASS.
This spread is right where it should be and the cover may come down to free throws on late take fouls. Bet the moneyline or total instead.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 217.5 (-110).
The Under is 4-1 in Miami’s last 5 games and 4-1 in Milwaukee’s last 5 after scoring 100 or more points in its previous game. These teams historically have played well defensively vs. each other and the Under is 22-9-1 in the last 32 meetings in Miami.
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