Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Bucks battle the Miami Heat in Game 4 of their playoff series on Monday. Tip from Kaseya Center is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Bucks vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Milwaukee fell 121-99 in Game 3 failing to cover as a 2-point road favorite and going down 2-1 in the series. Without star F Giannis Antetokounmpo, the Bucks struggled to compete. F Khris Middleton led the team with 23 points while only 3 other players scored in double digits. The Bucks led by as many as 7 before going down by as many as 29.

Miami had 6 players score in double digits with F Jimmy Butler leading the way with 30 points on 4-4 shooting from 3. Both C Bam Adebayo (12 points, 11 rebounds) and F Cody Martin (12, 11) had double-doubles in the blowout.

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Bucks at Heat odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bucks -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Heat +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bucks -5.5 (-115) | Heat +5.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Bucks at Heat key injuries

Bucks

  • F Giannis Antetokounmpo (back) questionable
  • G Wesley Matthews (calf) out

Heat

  • C Bam Adebayo (hamstring) probable
  • F Jimmy Butler (gluteus) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Bucks at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Bucks 116, Heat 109

Moneyline

PASS.

At -250 odds for a Bucks team that should see Antetokounmpo retake the floor, there is no value on the moneyline in this matchup.

Against the spread

LEAN BUCKS -5.5 (-115).

Even if Antetokounmpo is unable to play on Monday night, expect Middleton and G Jrue Holiday to pick up the slack. Middleton was the leading scorer in Game 3 and also scored more than 30 in Game 1. Holiday has been a key player for the Bucks recently accumulating 4 double-doubles in his last 5 games. The key for a Bucks cover will be breaking through the Miami defense that touts a banged-up Adebayo and Butler.

Over/Under

BET OVER 216.5 (-110).

The Over is 3-0 in the first 3 games of this series and 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams.

The Over has hit 5 straight times for the Bucks and is 5-0 in their last 5 road games and has hit in 8 of the last 10 games for the Heat and is 3-2 in their last 5 home games.

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