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The Texas Rangers (72-51) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (67-57) to Globe Life Field Sunday for the finale of a 3-game set. First pitch is set for 2:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 2-0
Milwaukee beat Texas 6-1 Saturday and 9-8 Friday, a pair of crucial victories after being swept in 3 games against the Los Angeles Dodgers from Tuesday-Thursday. The Brewers are 5-3 over their last 8 games and 34-30 on the road and have a 3-game lead atop the NL Central.
The Rangers are 1st in the AL West with a 2 1/2-game lead over the Houston Astros. Texas is 42-23 at home this season and 5-5 over its last 10 games.
Brewers at Rangers projected starters
RHP Adrian Houser vs. RHP Max Scherzer
Houser (4-4, 4.43 ERA) makes his 16th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 83 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 5 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 6-2 road loss vs. Dodgers Tuesday
- 2023 road stats: 2-3, 4.70 ERA in 44 IP through 8 starts and 1 relief appearance
Scherzer (12-4, 3.67 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 127 2/3 IP for the Rangers and the New York Mets.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 1 BB, 11 K in a 12-0 home win over the Los Angeles Angels Monday
- 2023 home stats: 5-0, 2.15 ERA in 54 1/3 IP through 9 starts
Brewers at Rangers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:32 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Rangers -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-120) | Rangers -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Brewers at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 6, Brewers 3
Moneyline
PASS.
The Rangers (-200) acquired Scherzer to help take their starting pitching to the next level, and he’s helped do just that, allowing just 4 earned runs in his 20 innings across 3 starts with them. Texas is the league’s 3rd-best team in the majors at home. Despite that, the price tag is far too expensive to consider.
Milwaukee (+165) has won 2 straight, but sweeping the Rangers won’t be easy considering the difference in the starters on the mound.
Run line/Against the spread
BET RANGERS -1.5 (+100).
Scherzer has started 9 home games for the Rangers and Mets and has won 7 of them, 5 of which were by 2 or more runs. He has given up more than 2 earned runs in just 2 home games.
The Rangers are a league-best 40-25 on the run line as the home side, just one of 6 teams with a winning ATS record in that scenario. At 34-27, Milwaukee ranks in the league’s bottom half in cover rate as an underdog.
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Over/Under
LEAN OVER 8.5 (-115).
The Brewers have gone Over in 6 of their last 11 games.
The Rangers are 59-55-9 O/U this season and 3-2 O/U over their last 5 games. Texas is 36-23-6 O/U at home, the second-highest Over rate in that scenario.
Take OVER 8.5 (-115).
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