Milwaukee Brewers at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (66-57) and Texas Rangers (72-50) meet Saturday for game 2 of a 3-game series. First pitch from Globe Life Field is set for 4:05 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 1-0

Milwaukee won 9-8 as a +110 road underdog in Friday’s back-and-forth series opener. Milwaukee led 9-4 entering the bottom of the 9th before Texas plated 4 to make it close and give the Brewers a scare.

The Brewers snapped a 3-game slide with the win, are 6-4 in their last 10 and 33-30 on the road. The Rangers have now lost back-to-back games, are also 6-4 in their last 10 and are an AL-best 42-22 at home.

Brewers at Rangers projected starters

RHP Freddy Peralta vs. RHP Dane Dunning

Peralta (9-8, 4.08 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 through 128 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 7-3 win at Chicago White Sox Sunday
  • Career vs. Rangers: 0-0, 13.50 ERA (2/3 IP, 1 ER), 0 H, 3 BB, 0 K through 1 relief appearance

Dunning (9-4, 3.10 ERA) makes his 19th start and 27th appearance. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 127 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 12 K in 3-2 loss at San Francisco Giants Sunday
  • Never faced Brewers before

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Brewers at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Rangers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-165) | Rangers -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Brewers at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 6, Brewers 5

Moneyline

LEAN RANGERS (-145).

Both teams are 6-4 in their last 10 games overall and 5-5 in the last 10 Milwaukee-Texas matchups, but the Rangers are a dominant home team and have the pitching advantage. As mentioned, the Rangers are 42-22 at home,  which is enough to feel comfortable betting on them here. Plus, they’re 4-1 in Peralta’s last 5 starts.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. 

I like the Brewers to cover here, but at +1.5 (-165), the line is not worth the juice. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8 (-115).

The Over is 6-2 in the last 8 Brewers-Rangers meetings and 6-3-1 in Milwaukee’s last 10 overall.

In Texas’ last 6 games, the Over is 4-2. Peralta is also 4-1 on the O/U in his last 5 starts.

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