The Milwaukee Brewers (24-21) conclude a 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays (34-13) on Sunday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Rays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Rays lead 2-0
The Brewers lost 8-4 to the Rays on Saturday, their 3rd straight loss and 6th in the last 10 games. In Milwaukee’s last 6 losses, it has been outscored 44-8. The Brewers are tied for the NL Central lead with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
In Saturday’s 4-run victory, the Rays got HRs from 1B Yandy Diaz, OF Harold Ramirez, and C Christian Bethancourt. Tampa Bay has won 2 straight and 4 of its last 6 games. The Rays lead the AL East by 3.5 games over the Baltimore Orioles.
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Brewers at Rays projected starters
RHP Freddy Peralta vs. LHP Jalen Beeks
Peralta (4-3, 4.11 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 46 innings.
- Has walked 2 or more batters in 6 of his 8 starts
- Has allowed 4-plus ER in 3 of his last 6 starts
Beeks (1-2, 4.70 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 23 innings.
- Hasn’t pitched more than 3 innings in any appearance this season
- The last time he allowed an ER as a starter was on April 17 vs. the Cincinnati Reds
Brewers at Rays odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:22 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Rays -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-175) | Rays -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Brewers at Rays picks and predictions
Prediction
Rays 6, Brewers 4
Moneyline
Even with Beeks acting as an opener for Tampa Bay, I’ll back the RAYS (-140) to complete the 3-game sweep. The Brewers have the 2nd-worst wRC+ (75) to left-handed pitching this season and once Beeks exits the game, the Rays’ bullpen is allowing the 7th-lowest wOBA (.297).
Run line/Against the spread
RAYS -1.5 (+145) has decent value with how Tampa Bay is performing on both sides of the plate. The Rays lead baseball with a 133 wRC+ against right-handed hurlers and Peralta just surrendered 6 ER in his last start.
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Over/Under
OVER 8 (-115) is the pick in this matchup with the Rays swinging a hot bat. The Rays are 4-0 to the Over in their last 4 games following a win and the Over is 3-1-2 in the last 6 meetings overall.
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