The Milwaukee Brewers (80-52) and San Francisco Giants (84-47) continue their four-game series at Oracle Park Tuesday with the first pitch scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Brewers vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Milwaukee won Monday’s series opener 3-1 as Brewers RHP Corbin Burnes had 6 IP with 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 9 K.
Season series: Tied 2-2.
RHP Brandon Woodruff is Milwaukee’s projected starter. Woodruff is 8-7 with a 2.38 ERA (151 1/3 IP, 40 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 25 starts.
- Last outing: Win, 4-1, with 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 10 K Wednesday against the Cincinnati Reds.
- Woodruff got a no-decision Aug. 7 against San Francisco with 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 8 K in Milwaukee’s 9-6 home loss.
San Francisco hadn’t announced a starter by the time of publishing.
Brewers at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:45 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Brewers -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Giants +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (+130) | Giants +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Prediction
Brewers 4, Giants 1
Money line (ML)
BET the BREWERS (-135) for 1 unit because Milwaukee has a significant edge in starting and relief pitching even though San Francisco hasn’t officially named its starter.
Either way, we know the Giants definitely will not start RHP Kevin Gausman and Woodruff has better basic and advanced pitching numbers than any starter in San Francisco’s rotation. The Brew Crew’s bullpen has a better xFIP, SIERA and K-BB% than the Giants’ relievers.
Lastly, Milwaukee’s lineup has been hotter than San Francisco’s over the last two weeks. Giants hitters are in the bottom-seven in wRC+, wOBA and WAR across the last 14 days.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS because Milwaukee is 4-7 ATS as a road favorite with Woodruff on the mound.
Even though the Brewers have the fourth-best cover rate as a road favorite at 24-19 ATS, I’d still need Milwaukee’s run line price to be north of +150 before taking a stab.
Over/Under (O/U)
Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-110) for a tiny wager because the Brewers are 8-18-1 O/U as a road favorite, 4-6-1 O/U as a road favorite with Woodruff on the rubber and 9-15-1 O/U in Woodruff’s 25 starts. The Under is also 5-0-1 in Milwaukee’s previous six games.
That said, the Giants have played more to the Over as a home underdog and the weather forecast predicts double-digit mph winds blowing out to left-centerfield, which helps both offenses.
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