The Milwaukee Brewers (10-7) and San Diego Padres (10-9) play the finale of a three-game set Wednesday at 4:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Adrian Houser is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 1-2 with a 3.14 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 6.3 K/9 and 4.4 BB/9 over 14 1/3 IP through three starts. Houser is 0-2 with a 4.82 ERA in two starts on the road, and he allowed one unearned run with six hits, four walks and three strikeouts over five innings in a win April 10 in his only road start in St. Louis.
RHP Dinelson Lamet is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He was 3-1 with a 2.09 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, 12.1 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 through 69 IP spanning 12 starts. Lamet will make his 2021 season debut after making his way back from an ulnar collateral ligament strain in his right elbow. He will be limited to 75-80 pitches.
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Brewers at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Brewers +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Padres -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Brewers +1.5 (-110) | Padres -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Brewers 6, Padres 4
Money line (ML)
The BREWERS (+180) are worth playing as moderate underdogs as they look for the sweep. They have outscored the Padres (-225) by a 9-1 score through the first two outings. I like Milwaukee going up against Lamet, who could be a little rusty in his first start while working on a pitch count.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The BREWERS +1.5 (-110) are a decent play if you’re not feeling Milwaukee straight up. In three of Milwaukee’s past four losses they have been within one run.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 7 (-120) is the lean here after the Under hit in the first two in this series. The Over is 2-1 in Houser’s three starts to date with the opposition averaging 6.3 runs per game in those games. Look for the offenses to come alive a little in this series finale.
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