The Milwaukee Brewers (8-7) and San Diego Padres (10-7) get going with the first part of a three-game Petco Park series Monday. First pitch will be at 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Brandon Woodruff is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 0-0 with a 2.12 ERA, 0.77 WHIP, 10.1 K/9, and 1.6 BB/9 in 17 IP over 3 starts this season. Woodruff was shaky in his season debut but has since allowed just 1 ER over 13 IP.
RHP Joe Musgrove is the projected starter for the Padres. Through 3 starts, Musgrove is 2-1 with a 0.47 ERA, 0.47 WHIP, 11.4 K/9, and 0.9 BB/9 through 19 IP. Monday’s turn at Petco marks Musgrove’s first home start since he tossed the first no-hitter in franchise history at the Texas Rangers April 9.
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Brewers at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:55 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Brewers +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Padres -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Brewers +1.5 (-165) | Padres -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Brewers 5, Padres 4
Money line (ML)
The Padres are coming off an emotional, high-leverage series against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Friars dropped two of three games, and they head into this series as losers of four of their last six.
The Brewers were solid in their first road trip of the year and were a decent nine away from home last summer. Woodruff has been a terrific pitcher on the road with a 3.29 ERA on a .604 OPS allowed for his career, and is a likable play with this much of an underdog tilt.
BACK THE BREWERS (+125).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Padres have the much better bullpen and it’d be nice to have some cushion on the Milwaukee side but STEER CLEAR of any tag pricier than -150.
Over/Under (O/U)
TAG THE OVER 6.5 (-115) AS A LEAN. Both offenses are a bit undercooked with their early-season numbers, and the pitching numbers for both teams are slightly strength-of-schedule suppressed.
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