The Milwaukee Brewers (41-38) play the 3rd game of a 4-game series against the New York Mets (36-43) on Wednesday at Citi Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 4-1
The Brewers had a 2-game win streak snapped with a 7-2 loss Tuesday. Milwaukee has tallied a 6-4 record in its last 10 games and is half a game back of the NL Central-leading Cincinnati Reds.
The Mets got home runs from OF Brandon Nimmo (2), SS Francisco Lindor and 1B Daniel Vogelbach as they notched their first win over the Brewers this season on Tuesday. New York has struggled with a 3-7 record in its last 10 contests and is only 5 games ahead of the Washington Nationals at the bottom of the NL East.
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Brewers at Mets projected starters
LHP Wade Miley vs. RHP Kodai Senga
Miley (5-2, 2.91 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 through 52 2/3 IP.
- The Brewers are 7-3 in his 10 starts
- Apr. 4 vs. Mets: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 3 K in a 9-0 victory
Senga (6-5, 3.52 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 5.2 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 through 76 2/3 IP.
- Has walked 3 or more batters in 11 of his first 14 outings
- Has posted 6 or more strikeouts in 11 games
Brewers at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Mets -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-165) | Mets -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Brewers at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 4, Mets 3
Moneyline
I’ll back the BREWERS (+120) on the road on Wednesday considering how the Mets have performed recently. Senga’s control concerns could be troublesome against Milwaukee, who is tied for the 9th-best walk rate (9.2%) against right-handed pitching this season.
Run line/Against the spread
Considering that I have the Brewers winning outright, I believe they keep the game close. That being said, I’ll PASS on the run line in this game unless you can get Milwaukee at -160 odds or better.
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Over/Under
UNDER 8.5 (+100) is the pick in this matchup despite Senga’s walk issues. The Mets are 4-0 to the Under in Senga’s last 4 starts against an NL Central team.
The Under is also 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams in New York.
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