The Milwaukee Brewers (41-37) and New York Mets (35-43) clash in the 2nd game of a 4-game series in Queens. First pitch at Citi Field is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 4-0
Milwaukee picked up a 2-1 win in Monday’s series opener to give the Brewers their 5th straight victory over the Mets since last September. Milwaukee pitching has logged a 3.59 ERA in its last 14 road games.
The Mets have lost 5 of their last 6 games and are just 5-16 since June 2. A club that played .667 ball (54-27) at Citi Field a year ago will slip to .500 at home (17-17) should New York fall in Tuesday’s game.
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Brewers at Mets projected starters
RHP Julio Teheran vs. LHP David Peterson
Teheran (2-2, 1.53 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.88 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 through 35 1/3 IP.
- Did not make his season debut until May 25 but has still not yielded more than 2 runs in a single game while tossing at least 5 innings in each outing
- Typically struggles against lefty bats (.777 OPS allowed career) which could be a problem against a Mets squad with powerful left-handed bats
Peterson (1-6, 8.08 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.74 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 39 IP.
- Demoted to Triple-A in mid-May; owns a 5.59 ERA and 1.66 WHIP across 4 Minor League starts in June
- Allowed 5 runs against the Brewers on April 5
Brewers at Mets odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:53 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Brewers +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Mets -154 (bet $154 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-156) | Mets -1.5 (+130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Brewers at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 5, Brewers 4
Moneyline
The Brewers are 2-5 in the last 7 series meetings in New York, and they are 2-6 across their last 8 games against left-handed starters. The Mets are 13-4 in their last 17 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Both starters have slim lines this season, and those small samples are colored heavily by some lucky and unlucky rates around the margins. Advantage Peterson in that trade-off, and he’s facing a Milwaukee offense that ranks last in MLB in OPS vs. left-handed pitching (.649).
Consider a partial-unit play on the METS (-154).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS. Both sides have played a lot of 1- and 2-run games of late.
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Over/Under
PASS.
There is no lean on either side of this figure. Plenty of team, starter and bullpen expectations crisscross as to what side they favor.
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