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The Los Angeles Angels (28-43) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (42-29) to Angel Stadium Monday to open a 3-game series. First pitch is set for 9:38 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Brewers won 2-1 last season
The Angels, who are 11-23 at home this season, have won 4 of their last 7 games. They won 2 of 3 against the San Francisco Giants in their last series but lost the final game 13-6 Sunday. Los Angeles is 4-2 in its last 6 at home and 40-31 against the spread (ATS) on the season. It has been led by LF Taylor Ward, who has 36 RBIs and a .240 batting average on the season.
The Brewers took 2 of 3 against the Cincinnati Reds at home in their last series, winning the final 2 games 3-1 Saturday and 5-4 Sunday. Milwaukee has been better at home but is 20-17 in away games. It is 39-32 ATS on the season yet just 1-4 ATS in its last 5 despite having won 2 of those. The Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 on the road.
Brewers at Angels projected starters
RHP Carlos Rodriguez vs. RHP Jose Soriano
Rodriguez (0-1, 4.91 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 2 ER on 7 hits and 1 walk with 4 K’s in 3 2/3 innings in his MLB debut, a 3-0 home loss vs. the Toronto Blue Jays Tuesday.
- 2024 stats with Triple-A Nashville: 4-5, 5.17 ERA (62 2/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 8 HR, 9.5 K/9 in 11 starts and 1 relief appearance
- 2024 road stats with Triple-A Nashville: 3-4, 6.50 ERA (36 IP, 26 ER), 1.56 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 7 starts
Soriano (4-5, 3.48 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 72 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 8 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 8-3 road win over Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday
- 2024 home splits: 1-4, 5.54 ERA (26 IP, 16 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 4 HR, 8.0 K/9 in 5 starts and 1 relief appearance
- Has never faced Brewers before
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Brewers at Angels odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:03 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Angels -104 (bet $104 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+138) | Angels +1.5 (-170)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)
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Brewers at Angels picks and predictions
Prediction
Angels 5, Brewers 4
Moneyline
BET ANGELS (-104).
The Angels have picked it up at home as of late and will be facing an inexperienced pitcher on the mound who lost his first career start. Los Angeles has won Soriano’s last 2 starts, beating the Padres 3-2 at home June 5 and the Diamondbacks Wednesday.
The Brewers have lost 4 of their last 6 on the road and struggled to consistently generate runs, scoring 5 or fewer in 11 of their last 12. Milwaukee sits atop the NL Central because of its pitching, sitting 8th in the majors in ERA. Rodriguez hasn’t proved he can play to that level.
With that in mind, back ANGELS (-104).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Brewers are too risky as run-line favorites with a pitcher making the second start of his career. Meanwhile, the Angels are far too expensive to play as run-line underdogs.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8.5 (-120).
The Brewers are 4-4-1 O/U in their last 9 games and 38-30-3 O/U on the season. They have scored at least 5 in 3 of their last 4 games. The Angels have gone Over in 6 of their last 7 and are 38-32-1 O/U on the season. They have tallied at least 6 runs in 3 of their last 5 games.
Soriano has struggled at home with a 5.54 ERA, and Rodriguez will be making his second start and may continue to struggle to keep batters off base. Considering those trends, back OVER 8.5 (-120).
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