The Milwaukee Brewers (39-37) will finish a 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians (37-39) on Sunday at Progressive Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Guardians odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Brewers lost 4-2 to the Guardians on Saturday, giving them a 5-5 record in their last 10 games. Milwaukee is 1 1/2 games behind the Cincinnati Reds for 1st place in the NL Central.
With the win, the Guardians have won 5 of their last 6 games. Despite having a losing record, Cleveland is only 1 game back of the Minnesota Twins atop the AL Central race.
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Brewers at Guardians projected starters
RHP Corbin Burnes vs. RHP Aaron Civale
Burnes (5-5, 3.96 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 88 2/3 innings.
- Has allowed 3 ER or more in 7 of his 15 starts
- Has struck out 7-plus batters in 6 of his last 8 starts
Civale (2-2, 2.67 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 33 2/3 IP.
- Has walked 2 or more batters in 4 straight starts
- Has reached 6 innings in only 2 of his 6 starts
Brewers at Guardians odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Guardians -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+155) | Guardians +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Brewers at Guardians picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 4, Guardians 3
Moneyline
Alhtough Burnes gave up 7 ER in his last start, he’s pitched better in recent starts compared to the beginning of the season. Provided that, I’ll take the BREWERS (-110) on the road in Sunday’s interleague contest.
Run line/Against the spread
Civale currently owns a 4.05 xERA and a 4.42 xFIP, which suggests he’s due for negative regression. That being said, the Guardians should keep this game close so PASS on betting on the run line.
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Over/Under
UNDER 8 (-115) is the lean in this matchup with neither team having much power against right-handed pitchers. The Brewers and the Guardians both have a wRC+ of 88 or lower against right-handed pitching this season.
The Under is also 7-3-2 in the last 12 meetings overall.
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